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Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken

Final/OTTV KHN/Prime, KONG·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Calgary Flames 2-1 in overtime, Jordan Eberle scoring at 0:48. The Flames scored first; the Kraken answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Eberle's goal at 0:48 of overtime, which took the Kraken's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 2.4 to 1.7; shots on goal were CGY 22, SEA 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 21 of 23 (.913); Joey Daccord stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Eberle (1 G), 2. Joey Daccord (21 saves, .955), 3. Dan Vladar (21 saves, .913).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    J. Eberle1 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    J. Daccord21 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    D. Vladar21 saves, .913

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CGYCGY18070700122
SEASEA051501112223

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    19:51

2nd period

  1. SEA
    slapxG 0.13win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:25

Overtime

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.13win prob +49 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:48

Penalties

CGY 12 PIM·SEA 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:27CGYMatt Coronato · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 18:31SEAJosh Mahura · Slashingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

2nd

  • 1:19SEAJamie Oleksiak · Interferencedrawn by Andrei Kuzmenko2 min
  • 1:45CGYNazem Kadri · High sticking double minordrawn by Will Borgen4 min
  • 10:40CGYKevin Bahl · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 11:53CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Slashingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min

3rd

  • 2:26SEAAndre Burakovsky · Trippingdrawn by Jake Bean2 min
  • 11:37CGYserved by A. Kuzmenko · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalCGY goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Eberle, OT 0:48 — SEA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.18S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.18E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.18B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.17C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.13J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.13C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.12A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.10S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.10M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.10J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.09B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.09A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.06B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.05M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.04M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.03J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.03W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01R. Evans · Missed · xG 0.00J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.00J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA2 G · 2.4 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsSEA
1.71 G
All situations
2 G2.4
1.40 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY35%65%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.66 – 2.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsSEA
22
Shots on goal
23
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
31
Hits
27
16
Blocked shots
10
16
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000-100.02240—25:24
7K. BahlD000000.03102—22:37
11M. BacklundC011030.460103021:09
52M. WeegarD000010.09220—19:59
20B. ColemanL101030.11210—19:14
8T. BarrieD000020.04000—18:03
91N. KadriC000-160.430046717:33
96A. KuzmenkoL000020.15000—17:08
94B. PachalD000010.05400—16:23
24J. BeanD000000.00010—16:14
10J. HuberdeauL000-110.05102—16:09
47C. ZaryC000010.160205015:11
27M. CoronatoR000010.02212—14:30
39A. ManthaR000000.00120—13:43
76M. PospisilC000000.02310012:46
58J. KirklandC000000.024006309:21
70R. LombergL000000.00500—08:43
43A. KlapkaR000010.0941010006:32
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(O)23212.9132.44+0.4460:48

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).