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Sabres at Blackhawks
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸4
Chicago Blackhawks
2
FinalTV CHSN, MSG-B·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-2. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was JJ Peterka's goal at 18:37 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were BUF 22, CHI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 35 of 37 (.946); Arvid Soderblom stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Craig Smith (2 G), 2. JJ Peterka (1 G, 1 A), 3. Lukas Reichel (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    C. Smith2 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Peterka1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    L. Reichel2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF291815422
CHICHI012213012237

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(4)
    J. Peterka (2), A. Tuch (5)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:39
  2. BUF
    B. Malenstyn(1)
    C. Clifton (2), P. Krebs (2)
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    11:31

2nd period

  1. CHI
    C. Smith(1)
    L. Reichel (1), S. Jones (5)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:28
  2. CHI
    C. Smith(2)
    L. Reichel (2), C. Murphy (1)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:48
  3. BUF
    J. Peterka(4)
    T. Thompson (2), O. Power (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +23 pts
    3-2
    18:37

3rd period

  1. BUF
    R. McLeod(3)EN
    D. Cozens (2)
    wristxG 0.80win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    19:34

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·CHI 12 PIM

1st

  • 13:35CHITJ Brodie · Holdingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 15:59BUFJJ Peterka · Holdingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min

2nd

  • 6:47CHISeth Jones · Trippingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
  • 14:55CHITJ Brodie · Trippingdrawn by Jiri Kulich2 min

3rd

  • 14:28CHIPhilipp Kurashev · Roughingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min
  • 14:28CHIIlya Mikheyev · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Samuelsson2 min
  • 14:28BUFPeyton Krebs · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 14:28CHITyler Bertuzzi · Roughingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min
  • 14:28BUFBeck Malenstyn · Roughingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalBUF goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: JJ Peterka, 2nd 18:37 — BUF 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.20C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.20N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.18L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.15L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.14L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.12C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.11T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.10R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.10P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.05A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.05N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.04N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.04T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.03T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.03T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.03C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.02R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.01N. Allan · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.01W. Kaiser · Missed · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.00R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 2.3 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsCHI
2.93 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.03 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF38%62%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.63 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsCHI
22
Shots on goal
37
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/4
Power play
0/1
6
Penalty minutes
12
24
Hits
21
14
Blocked shots
19
10
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000+100.01110—23:51
77J. PeterkaR112+210.40002—20:43
4B. ByramD000+110.02230—20:27
25O. PowerD011+100.01010—20:10
72T. ThompsonC112+220.212104219:18
89A. TuchR011+330.602105018:57
10H. JokiharjuD000000.00100—17:42
24D. CozensC011+110.141002517:27
23M. SamuelssonD000+100.00010—15:48
75C. CliftonD011010.01410—15:37
17J. ZuckerL000-110.09000—15:36
20J.KulichC000050.37100015:19
22J. QuinnR000010.06110—15:16
71R. McLeodC101010.800006414:15
9Z. BensonL000-100.01010—13:17
81S. LaffertyC000020.04420012:10
29B. MalenstynL101020.11312—11:16
19P. KrebsC011010.052025710:51
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(W)37352.9462.26+0.2660:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).