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Hurricanes at Penguins
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Pittsburgh Penguins
1
FinalTV NHLN, SN-PIT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-1. The Penguins scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jackson Blake's goal at 13:24 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 33% to 46%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.5 to 2.7; shots on goal were CAR 38, PIT 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Joel Blomqvist stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jackson Blake (1 G), 3. Drew O'Connor (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    M. Necas1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Blake1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    D. O'Connor1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR19218111438
PITPIT1407015126

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    D. O'Connor(3)
    L. Eller (2), J. Puljujarvi (3)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:20
  2. CAR
    J. Blake(2)
    E. Robinson (1), J. Kotkaniemi (2)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:24

2nd period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(1)PPG
    S. Jarvis (1), S. Aho (1)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:52
  2. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(2)PPG
    A. Svechnikov (2), M. Necas (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-1
    17:13

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Roslovic(1)
    J. Kotkaniemi (3), D. Orlov (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-1
    11:00

Penalties

CAR 12 PIM·PIT 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:20CARSean Walker · Holdingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min

2nd

  • 6:13PITMarcus Pettersson · Holdingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min
  • 8:28PITKris Letang · Slashingdrawn by Eric Robinson2 min
  • 10:23CARJackson Blake · Slashingdrawn by Joel Blomqvist2 min
  • 10:23PITDrew O'Connor · Roughingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
  • 10:45CARWilliam Carrier · Trippingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 16:04PITMichael Bunting · High sticking double minordrawn by Andrei Svechnikov4 min

3rd

  • 2:09CAREric Robinson · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min
  • 13:35CARSean Walker · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:00CARJackson Blake · Trippingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalCAR goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Jackson Blake, 1st 13:24 — CAR 33% → 46%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.30J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.26S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.21B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.13S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.12E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.12K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.11B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.10B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.10D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.09B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.09E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.09C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.09N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.08E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.07D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.05D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.04N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.04N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.03D. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02J. St. Ivany · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02J. St. Ivany · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT1 G · 2.7 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPIT
3.54 G
All situations
1 G2.7
2.72 G
Even strength
1 G0.9
0.62 G
Power play
0 G1.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR66%34%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.43 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPIT
38
Shots on goal
26
47%
Faceoffs
53%
2/4
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
15
Hits
27
13
Blocked shots
21
15
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000020.07030—22:30
7D. OrlovD011+220.05210—21:09
8B. BurnsD000060.28010—20:29
20S. AhoC011020.070102920:16
5J. ChatfieldD000+100.06100—19:51
24S. JarvisR011020.171206719:06
48J. MartinookL000020.29110—17:06
37A. SvechnikovR011030.22200—16:16
4S. GostisbehereD101010.06000—15:55
88M. NecasC112020.35100015:48
26S. WalkerD000-110.05214—14:57
18J. DruryC000010.140007014:25
82J. KotkaniemiC022+130.48020914:14
28W. CarrierL000020.20102—13:57
11J. StaalC000000.112005713:41
96J. RoslovicC101040.3101010012:27
53J. BlakeR101+130.2810410009:48
50E. RobinsonL011+120.29102—09:36
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)26251.9622.70+1.7059:29

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).