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Kraken at Predators
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
▸7
Nashville Predators
3
FinalTV KHN/Prime, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Nashville Predators 7-3. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jaden Schwartz's goal at 1:19 of the third period, which took the Kraken's chances from 48% to 72%. Expected goals were close — SEA 2.4, NSH 2.6; shots on goal were SEA 35, NSH 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Juuse Saros stopped 28 of 34 (.824), 4.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jaden Schwartz (1 G, 1 A), 2. Oliver Bjorkstrand (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jared McCann (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    J. Schwartz1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    O. Bjorkstrand1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    J. McCann1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA313011411735
NSHNSH21211308333

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    R. Evans(1)
    A. Larsson (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:37
  2. SEA
    O. Bjorkstrand(1)
    C. Stephenson (1), J. Schwartz (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:07
  3. NSH
    M. McCarron(1)
    J. Parssinen (1), A. Carrier (1)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    14:47
  4. NSH
    T. Novak(2)
    M. Jankowski (1), L. Evangelista (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    17:00
  5. SEA
    B. Tanev(1)
    B. Montour (2), Y. Gourde (2)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    19:27

2nd period

  1. NSH
    B. Skjei(1)
    R. O'Reilly (1), F. Forsberg (2)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    17:17

3rd period

  1. SEA
    J. Schwartz(1)
    O. Bjorkstrand (1), C. Stephenson (2)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +25 ptsVideo
    4-3
    1:19
  2. SEA
    J. Eberle(3)
    J. McCann (2), J. Oleksiak (1)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +17 ptsVideo
    5-3
    2:40
  3. SEA
    J. McCann(2)
    M. Beniers (1), J. Oleksiak (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +4 ptsVideo
    6-3
    11:57
  4. SEA
    A. Larsson(1)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.57Video
    7-3
    17:56

Penalties

SEA 6 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 19:59SEAJared McCann · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

2nd

  • 7:36NSHFilip Forsberg · Slashingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 14:03NSHLuke Evangelista · High stickingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 17:07NSHJonathan Marchessault · Roughingdrawn by Tye Kartye2 min
  • 17:07SEATye Kartye · Boardingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 18:12SEAJaden Schwartz · Hookingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSEA goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Jaden Schwartz, 3rd 1:19 — SEA 48% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.31J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.20F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.17S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.15F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.13B. Skjei · Goal · xG 0.13T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.10D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.10M. McCarron · Goal · xG 0.10T. Novak · Goal · xG 0.09C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.09M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.07G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.05T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 2.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsNSH
2.46 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.46 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
0.40 G
Power play
0 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA37%63%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsNSH
35
Shots on goal
33
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
29
19
Blocked shots
8
15
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24J. OleksiakD022+410.02030—26:01
62B. MontourD011+330.11200—23:13
6A. LarssonD112+230.57100—21:14
29V. DunnD000030.10220—19:24
10M. BeniersC011+140.230205317:42
9C. StephensonC022000.010005017:23
37Y. GourdeC011+110.022102515:59
19J. McCannL112+230.20032—15:44
95A. BurakovskyL000010.20010—15:06
17J. SchwartzL112+210.08012—14:49
20E. TolvanenR000+100.00000—14:40
13B. TanevL101+160.31400—14:15
7J. EberleR101+230.32010—13:58
12T. KartyeL000+100.00702—13:21
3W. BorgenD000-120.03120—13:17
22O. BjorkstrandR112020.15100—13:14
41R. EvansD101020.05220—12:48
51S. WrightC000+200.001103812:06
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(W)33303.9092.57-0.4359:46

Season series

SEA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).