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Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets

Final/OTTV BSN, BSWI·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Minnesota Wild 2-1 in overtime, Kyle Connor scoring at 0:51. The Wild scored first; the Jets answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 0:51 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were MIN 27, WPG 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 33 of 35 (.943); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Lowry (1 A), 2. Filip Gustavsson (33 saves, .943), 3. Neal Pionk.

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    A. Lowry1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson33 saves, .943
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    N. Pionk

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN170100901127
WPGWPG1901401111235

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:06
  2. WPG
    snapxG 0.01win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:58

Overtime

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.11win prob +49 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:51

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:40MINYakov Trenin · Trippingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 12:56WPGMorgan Barron · Trippingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

2nd

  • 9:40WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

3rd

  • 14:21WPGRasmus Kupari · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 19:54MINZach Bogosian · Holding the stickdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMIN goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, OT 0:51 — WPG 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.19N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.16M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.12V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.12K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.09G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.08A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.08N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.04C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.02C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.02M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.00N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG2 G · 2.1 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsWPG
1.91 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN45%55%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 2.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsWPG
27
Shots on goal
35
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
16
15
Blocked shots
11
19
Giveaways
19
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000020.02200—25:57
97K. KaprizovL000+140.22000—21:32
25J. BrodinD000-130.07240—21:01
24Z. BogosianD000010.01222—20:35
36M. ZuccarelloR000+110.21010—20:22
23M. RossiC011+130.320005018:42
12M. BoldyL000-120.191006718:36
5J. MiddletonD101+120.12330—18:34
47D. ChisholmD000010.02100—17:13
38R. HartmanR000-110.130004016:57
90M. JohanssonL000-100.00000—14:57
89F. GaudreauC000010.260103313:37
22M. KhusnutdinovC000020.150005813:24
4J. MerrillD000010.03110—13:16
17M. FolignoL000000.01100—12:36
13Y. TreninC000000.00212011:43
28L. OhgrenL000020.04110—11:18
94J. LaukoC000010.07210010:07
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(O)35332.9432.13+0.1360:51

Season series

WPG leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).