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Islanders at Stars
NHL

New York Islanders at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
0
Dallas Stars
▸3
FinalTV Victory+, MSGSN2·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the New York Islanders 3-0. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 10:58 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were NYI 34, DAL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Jake Oettinger stopped 34 of 34 (1.000), 3.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Oettinger (34 saves, 1.000), 2. Jamie Benn (1 G), 3. Tyler Seguin (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger34 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    T. Seguin2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI01207015034
DALDAL1611318327

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(1)
    M. Marchment (1), M. Duchene (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:59

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(1)
    W. Johnston (2)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:58

3rd period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(2)EN
    M. Marchment (2), S. Steel (1)
    wristxG 0.53Video
    0-3
    18:57

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·DAL 2 PIM

1st

  • 4:00NYIMaxim Tsyplakov · Interferencedrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min

2nd

  • 7:17DALserved by M. Marchment · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:41NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Trippingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalNYI goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jamie Benn, 2nd 10:58 — DAL 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.52J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.19L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.16W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.15S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.14M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.14J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.12M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.12R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.10T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.09T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.09J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.06L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.04J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.03I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bäck · On goal · xG 0.02T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.00T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 2.4 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsDAL
3.10 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.80 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI70%30%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.06 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsDAL
34
Shots on goal
27
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
21
13
Blocked shots
14
20
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28A. RomanovD000-210.01140—23:56
8N. DobsonD000-200.00140—21:10
6R. PulockD000-120.11010—20:19
13M. BarzalC000-110.091105019:29
3A. PelechD000-130.05200—18:49
29B. NelsonC000-230.710005418:33
24S. MayfieldD000030.15110—18:17
14B. HorvatC000-140.381002317:57
7M. TsyplakovR000-120.30102—17:33
21K. PalmieriC000-240.3710010016:20
11A. DuclairL000-110.18000—16:04
2M. ReillyD000030.14000—15:53
27A. LeeL000-130.26300—15:39
44J. PageauC000-110.021005014:28
10S. HolmstromR000010.15000—13:30
32K. MacLeanC000010.103007311:41
53C. CizikasC000000.0012010009:58
26O. WahlstromR000010.03002—09:21
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(L)26242.9231.91-0.0957:03

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).