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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

FinalTV TBS, truTV·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Washington Capitals 4-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artemi Panarin's goal at 3:21 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 54% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYR 23, WSH 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Charlie Lindgren stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mika Zibanejad (2 A), 3. Martin Fehérváry (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    M. Fehérváry1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR2100627423
WSHWSH1811007225

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.38win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:57
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:54
  3. NYR
    snapxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:44

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.15win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:48

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.10win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:21
  2. NYR
    snapxG 0.68win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:09

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 18:51WSHNick Jensen · Trippingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min
  • 19:44WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

2nd

  • 3:15NYRBraden Schneider · Hookingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

3rd

  • 3:10WSHT.J. Oshie · High stickingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 5:01NYRBarclay Goodrow · Hookingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min
  • 17:18WSHRasmus Sandin · Trippingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYR goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Artemi Panarin, 3rd 3:21 — NYR 54% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.29D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.20T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.15H. Lapierre · Goal · xG 0.15M. Fehérváry · Goal · xG 0.11N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.10S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.09A. Alexeyev · On goal · xG 0.08H. Lapierre · Missed · xG 0.08T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.08H. Lapierre · Missed · xG 0.08M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.08N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.07A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.07T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.06C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.05T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.03B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.03T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.02D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.01B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.01A. Alexeyev · Missed · xG 0.00R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.00A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.00D. McIlrath · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 2.2 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsWSH
2.83 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.52 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR49%51%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.11 – 2.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsWSH
23
Shots on goal
25
50%
Faceoffs
50%
3/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
36
Hits
46
22
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
17
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16V. TrocheckC101030.373006821:21
23A. FoxD011+120.26130—21:09
10A. PanarinL112040.30010—20:52
8J. TroubaD011+120.02650—20:39
93M. ZibanejadC022010.151005820:00
56E. GustafssonD000-110.04200—20:00
79K. MillerD000-110.03120—18:49
55R. LindgrenD000-100.01210—18:43
20C. KreiderL000-130.39300—17:35
4B. SchneiderD000-110.03422—16:27
91A. WennbergC000000.000001315:55
13A. LafrenièreL011000.0010010015:47
96J. RoslovicC101-110.7310010015:16
21B. GoodrowC000-100.004322012:31
50W. CuylleL000+100.00420—12:19
26J. VeseyL000-110.05030—11:47
24K. KakkoR101+130.4400010011:11
73M. RempeC000-100.00300005:39
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)25232.9202.19+0.1960:00

Series

NYR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).