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Oilers at Avalanche
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV ESPN, SN·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 5:48 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were EDM 26, COL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 13 of 14 (.929); Justus Annunen stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 A), 2. Valeri Nichushkin (2 G), 3. Zach Parise (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    V. Nichushkin2 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    Z. Parise1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM1707012126
COLCOL41311004527

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(27)
    A. Lehkonen (18), C. Mittelstadt (39)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:19
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(42)
    D. Toews (38), N. MacKinnon (88)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:48
  3. COL
    V. Nichushkin(28)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (89), C. Makar (69)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    7:37
  4. COL
    J. Manson(8)
    S. Walker (19), Y. Trenin (5)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-4
    10:17
  5. EDM
    D. Holloway(6)PPG
    P. Broberg (2), B. Kulak (13)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-4
    15:22

2nd period

  1. COL
    Z. Parise(5)
    R. Colton (23), M. Wood (17)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-5
    12:00

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:05EDMTroy Stecher · Hookingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 11:23EDMTroy Stecher · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
  • 13:43COLBrandon Duhaime · Interferencedrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 18:20EDMserved by C. Perry · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 8:20EDMBrett Kulak · Slashingdrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min

3rd

  • 7:42COLCasey Mittelstadt · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalEDM goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, 1st 5:48 — COL 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.22V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.17V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.16A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.13M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.12Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.12V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.11V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.11V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.10J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.07B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.07J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.07M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.06Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04J. Manson · Goal · xG 0.03Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.03C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.02B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 2.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCOL
3.11 G
All situations
5 G2.8
2.70 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM52%48%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCOL
26
Shots on goal
27
67%
Faceoffs
33%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
10
16
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
7
10
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. CeciD000-210.02200—24:07
25D. NurseD000-200.01130—22:19
27B. KulakD011-230.05142—20:49
19A. HenriqueC000-120.761104319:52
71R. McLeodC000-230.660007619:17
28C. BrownR000-100.041005019:02
37W. FoegeleL000-170.92010—18:24
73V. DesharnaisD000-200.00200—18:03
86P. BrobergD011010.01010—17:19
13M. JanmarkC000000.00200016:49
55D. HollowayL101-130.1442010016:46
39S. CarrickC000010.011107916:42
90C. PerryR000-110.07000—16:27
51T. StecherD000000.01104—16:19
10D. RyanC000-140.363006713:07
89S. GagnerC000-200.0003010009:26
21A. ErneL000-200.00100—08:40
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard14131.9291.21+0.2140:00
74S. Skinner(L)1394.6921.57-2.4320:00

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).