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Blackhawks at Golden Knights
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights

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Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden McNabb's goal at 16:25 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were CHI 23, VGK 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 22 of 23 (.957). Three stars: 1. Logan Thompson (22 saves, .957), 2. Brayden McNabb (1 G), 3. Michael Amadio (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    L. Thompson22 saves, .957
  2. ★★
    VGK
    B. McNabb1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Amadio1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI0805110123
VGKVGK011110216337

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.24win prob +21 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:25

3rd period

  1. VGK
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:13
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:02
  3. VGK
    N. Roy(13)EN
    B. Howden (11), J. Eichel (37)
    snapxG 0.46win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:24

Penalties

CHI 2 PIM·VGK 2 PIM

1st

  • 9:58VGKWilliam Karlsson · Hookingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min

2nd

  • 7:37CHIJarred Tinordi · Cross checkingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCHI goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden McNabb, 2nd 16:25 — VGK 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Roy · Goal · xG 0.46I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.39B. McNabb · Goal · xG 0.24J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.14T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.13I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.13J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.12N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.10M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.10M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.09J. Rondbjerg · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.08T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.08P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.08T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.07J. Rondbjerg · On goal · xG 0.07B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.06B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.06J. Rondbjerg · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.04I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03M. Amadio · Goal · xG 0.03T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rondbjerg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 3.3 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsVGK
1.41 G
All situations
2 G3.3
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI24%76%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.36 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsVGK
23
Shots on goal
37
30%
Faceoffs
70%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
25
Hits
20
18
Blocked shots
12
11
Giveaways
9
13
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD000-130.17230—27:37
72A. VlasicD000020.03010—25:39
5C. MurphyD000-110.03440—19:11
98C. BedardC011010.07000019:06
55K. KorchinskiD000-100.00020—18:43
23P. KurashevC011010.020203318:41
16J. DickinsonC101020.132201717:19
11T. RaddyshR000-110.08300—15:30
91F. NazarC000-310.190003315:19
17N. FolignoL000-240.201103314:48
90T. JohnsonC000000.001002014:39
24J. MegnaD000020.06320—13:55
8R. DonatoC000010.11200013:47
25J. TinordiD000000.00302—13:39
27L. ReichelL000010.06000—13:03
84L. SlaggertL000-120.10300—13:01
89A. AthanasiouC000010.130106012:48
15J. AndersonR000-100.00100—11:51
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)36342.9442.81+0.8159:24

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).