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Coyotes at Flames
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
5
Calgary Flames
▸6
FinalTV SCRIPPS, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Utah Mammoth 6-5. The Flames came back from two goals down. The Coyotes led 5-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nazem Kadri's goal at 1:14 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 28% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were ARI 35, CGY 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 25 of 31 (.806), 3.5 goals below expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nazem Kadri (2 G, 1 A), 2. Rasmus Andersson (2 A), 3. Clayton Keller (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    N. Kadri2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    R. Andersson2 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Keller2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI31621108535
CGYCGY21027214631

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    A. Kerfoot(13)
    M. Kesselring (15), C. Ingram (3)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:36
  2. ARI
    M. Maccelli(16)
    J. Brown (7), V. Kolyachonok (2)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    3:55
  3. CGY
    A. Kuzmenko(22)
    N. Kadri (45), M. Pospisil (15)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:22
  4. CGY
    M. Coronato(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:42
  5. ARI
    D. Guenther(16)PPG
    S. Durzi (32), C. Keller (41)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-2
    17:54

2nd period

  1. CGY
    C. Zary(14)
    D. Hunt (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-3
    9:07
  2. ARI
    D. Guenther(17)
    J. Jenik (1), C. Keller (42)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +21 ptsVideo
    4-3
    15:14
  3. ARI
    J. Doan(5)
    J. McBain (17)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    5-3
    16:17
  4. CGY
    Y. Sharangovich(31)
    M. Backlund (24), R. Andersson (28)
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +17 ptsVideo
    5-4
    16:50

3rd period

  1. CGY
    N. Kadri(28)
    R. Andersson (29), O. Kylington (5)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +25 ptsVideo
    5-5
    1:14
  2. CGY
    N. Kadri(29)PPG
    M. Weegar (32), A. Kuzmenko (23)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +24 ptsVideo
    5-6
    5:43

Penalties

ARI 11 PIM·CGY 11 PIM

1st

  • 10:27ARIJan Jenik · Fightingdrawn by Dryden Hunt5 min
  • 10:27CGYDryden Hunt · Fightingdrawn by Jan Jenik5 min
  • 13:06ARIMichael Kesselring · Roughingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min
  • 16:39CGYNikita Okhotiuk · Trippingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min

2nd

  • 12:34ARIDylan Guenther · Hookingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min

3rd

  • 3:49ARIJ.J. Moser · Trippingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min
  • 14:04CGYOliver Kylington · Hookingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min
  • 19:15CGYMartin Pospisil · Hookingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalARI goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Nazem Kadri, 3rd 1:14 — CGY 28% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Sharangovich · Goal · xG 0.26M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.18M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.18A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.16J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.11D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kuzmenko · Goal · xG 0.11C. Zary · Goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.09D. Miromanov · Missed · xG 0.08D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.07M. Coronato · Goal · xG 0.07J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.07W. Duehr · Missed · xG 0.07Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.04M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.04M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.03C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.01D. Miromanov · Missed · xG 0.01K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.01D. Miromanov · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.00M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY6 G · 2.5 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCGY
2.95 G
All situations
6 G2.5
2.24 G
Even strength
5 G1.9
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI57%43%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCGY
35
Shots on goal
31
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/3
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
12
Hits
27
11
Blocked shots
17
6
Giveaways
17
11
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
50S. DurziD011-120.19000—24:02
4J. VälimäkiD000-100.04210—23:25
15A. KerfootC101-130.410104522:16
8N. SchmaltzC000010.090002021:52
9C. KellerR022+140.40000—21:41
5M. KesselringD011-110.02132—20:40
11D. GuentherR202-160.44102—19:19
90J. MoserD000-220.10102—17:42
92L. CooleyC000-230.290002015:52
67L. CrouseL000-200.00000—15:43
3J. BrownD011+130.05220—15:32
22J. McBainC011+110.083204713:34
52V. KolyachonokD011+220.08000—13:04
63M. MaccelliL101020.11000—12:40
91J. DoanR101020.10100—10:30
53M. CarconeL000010.3300010010:11
38L. O'BrienC000020.06110009:22
73J. JenikC011+100.080154208:52
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(L)31256.8062.47-3.5357:20
70K. Vejmelka000—0.000.0000:29

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).