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Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV CBC, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pius Suter's goal at 11:00 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 66% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were VAN 27, EDM 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Casey DeSmith (32 saves, .970), 2. Sam Lafferty (1 G), 3. Evander Kane (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    C. DeSmith32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    VAN
    S. Lafferty1 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    E. Kane1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN1911315327
EDMEDM01311208133

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    19:44

2nd period

  1. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    11:00
  2. EDM
    C. Brown (8), D. Nurse (19)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:48

3rd period

  1. VAN
    D. Joshua(17)EN
    wristxG 0.48win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:13

Penalties

VAN 4 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:08VANJ.T. Miller · Trippingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min

2nd

  • 0:17VANTyler Myers · High stickingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 2:00EDMserved by C. Perry · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 8:14EDMEvander Kane · Trippingdrawn by Sam Lafferty2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVAN goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Pius Suter, 2nd 11:00 — VAN 66% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.35Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.21R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.20D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.18R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.17M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.15C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.14W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.12W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.12E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.11E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.10C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.08D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.08C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.07R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.07D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.04W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM1 G · 3.3 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsEDM
2.62 G
All situations
1 G3.3
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.60 G
Power play
0 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN32%68%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.11 – 3.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsEDM
27
Shots on goal
33
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
47
Hits
36
21
Blocked shots
8
6
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000-110.03120—21:55
17F. HronekD000-110.01320—20:56
57T. MyersD011+220.04322—20:16
7C. SoucyD000+200.00520—18:59
23E. LindholmC011+120.072305517:54
91N. ZadorovD011+110.04610—17:50
82I. ColeD000+100.00210—17:43
9J. MillerC011+110.030126317:36
40E. PetterssonC000010.082306717:33
8C. GarlandR011+170.45110—17:04
6B. BoeserR000000.58200—15:26
81D. JoshuaC101+120.58200015:08
53T. BluegerC000020.101005014:46
21N. HoglanderL000010.02300—14:16
65I. MikheyevR000030.19100—12:53
24P. SuterC101+120.2120010012:47
18S. LaffertyC101+110.094204312:36
92V. PodkolzinR000000.10710—10:22
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29C. DeSmith(W)33321.9703.34+2.3460:00

Season series

VAN leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).