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Montréal Canadiens at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSG 2, TSN2·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-2. The Canadiens scored first; the Rangers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 3:59 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 59% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 5.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were MTL 28, NYR 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Cayden Primeau stopped 41 of 45 (.911); Igor Shesterkin stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 3 A), 2. Mika Zibanejad (2 G, 1 A), 3. Igor Shesterkin (26 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin26 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL1110918228
NYRNYR016112418546

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.25win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    19:30

2nd period

  1. NYR
    A. Panarin (67), A. Fox (54)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:31

3rd period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(38)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:59
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.33win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    6:09
  3. MTL
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:13
  4. NYR
    wristxG 0.20win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-4
    16:56
  5. NYR
    wristxG 0.63Video
    2-5
    18:45

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·NYR 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:48MTLMichael Pezzetta · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min

2nd

  • 12:21MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Trippingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min
  • 19:31NYRWill Cuylle · Trippingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min

3rd

  • 3:05MTLJoel Armia · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalMTL goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 3rd 3:59 — NYR 59% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.63A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.47A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.33M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.20W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.19J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.16C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.15M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.15V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.14C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.13A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.11W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.10C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.10A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.09C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.06R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.06K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.05R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.04J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 5.0 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsNYR
2.42 G
All situations
4 G5.0
2.32 G
Even strength
2 G3.0
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL27%73%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 3.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsNYR
28
Shots on goal
46
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/1
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
23
16
Blocked shots
8
9
Giveaways
6
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD022010.05050—25:21
22C. CaufieldR101060.57000—20:19
47J. StrubleD000-120.02410—20:14
58D. SavardD011+120.07120—20:06
15A. NewhookC101-110.301004719:17
14N. SuzukiC000000.030002819:06
20J. SlafkovskýL000040.2400210018:31
52J. BarronD000-120.25210—18:25
54J. HarrisD000000.01100—17:13
71J. EvansC000-100.000305716:53
40J. ArmiaR000010.13112—16:16
17J. AndersonR000-220.37210—15:56
26J. KovacevicD000010.07200—15:05
70T. PearsonL000-110.20300—13:30
11B. GallagherR000030.09100—12:50
49R. Harvey-PinardL000000.00210—11:29
55M. PezzettaL000000.00212—09:01
36C. WhiteC000020.01100008:19
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Primeau(L)45414.9113.90-0.1059:05

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).