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Utah Mammoth at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, SCRIPPS·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the San Jose Sharks 5-2. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Guenther's goal at 4:56 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were ARI 28, SJS 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Lawson Crouse (1 G, 1 A), 2. Henry Thrun (1 G, 1 A), 3. Luke Kunin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    L. Crouse1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    H. Thrun1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    L. Kunin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI21007311528
SJSSJS1711208227

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    L. Crouse(22)PPG
    snapxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:17
  2. SJS
    H. Thrun(3)PPG
    slapxG 0.05win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:28
  3. ARI
    Unassisted
    pokexG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:07

2nd period

  1. SJS
    H. Thrun (6), C. Graf (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:40

3rd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:56
  2. ARI
    slapxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    4-2
    14:13
  3. ARI
    C. Keller (40), S. Durzi (29)
    wristxG 0.55win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    16:54

Penalties

ARI 14 PIM·SJS 18 PIM

1st

  • 1:20SJSHenry Thrun · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 3:45ARITravis Dermott · Interferencedrawn by Thomas Bordeleau2 min
  • 6:20ARILawson Crouse · Elbowingdrawn by Henry Thrun2 min
  • 14:39SJSJack Studnicka · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min

2nd

  • 1:06ARIClayton Keller · Hookingdrawn by William Eklund2 min
  • 5:17ARIDylan Guenther · High stickingdrawn by Kyle Burroughs2 min
  • 14:46ARIJoshua Brown · Roughingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min
  • 14:49SJSThomas Bordeleau · High stickingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
  • 18:00ARIJ.J. Moser · Hookingdrawn by Jacob MacDonald2 min

3rd

  • 11:13SJSThomas Bordeleau · Slashingdrawn by Matias Maccelli2 min
  • 11:13ARIMatias Maccelli · Cross checkingdrawn by Thomas Bordeleau2 min
  • 11:51SJSCalen Addison · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalARI goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Guenther, 3rd 4:56 — ARI 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.32L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.15W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.13T. Bordeleau · On goal · xG 0.10L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.09L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.09M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.08M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.07F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.07F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.07W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.05N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.05H. Thrun · Goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.04W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.04L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.04K. Burroughs · Missed · xG 0.03C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.02W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.01J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.01C. Graf · Missed · xG 0.01J. Studnicka · On goal · xG 0.01C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bordeleau · Missed · xG 0.00J. Studnicka · Missed · xG 0.00M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 1.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsSJS
3.34 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.53 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI55%45%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsSJS
28
Shots on goal
27
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/3
Power play
1/6
14
Penalty minutes
18
14
Hits
12
12
Blocked shots
13
11
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4J. VälimäkiD011+320.12030—25:05
50S. DurziD011+120.25030—21:34
5M. KesselringD000+200.00020—20:54
3J. BrownD000000.00412—19:08
90J. MoserD000+120.03002—18:52
15A. KerfootC011+200.080005717:40
9C. KellerR112+220.15002—16:24
17N. BjugstadC000+210.021007516:10
8N. SchmaltzC112+220.81000016:09
22J. McBainC000010.025102915:26
92L. CooleyC011-110.060001414:47
11D. GuentherR101030.35102—14:31
63M. MaccelliL011030.19002—14:21
67L. CrouseL112020.20002—12:53
53M. CarconeL000+100.00000—11:46
91J. DoanR000020.1101010010:47
33T. DermottD000-110.00002—10:46
38L. O'BrienC101+140.90310010:04
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(W)27252.9261.90-0.1060:00

Season series

ARI leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).