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Devils at Senators
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
▸4
Ottawa Senators
3
FinalTV MSG, CITY·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Ottawa Senators 4-3. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ondrej Palat's goal at 12:36 of the first period, which took the Devils' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals were close — NJD 2.5, OTT 2.3; shots on goal were NJD 27, OTT 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.7 goals below expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brendan Smith (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jake Sanderson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jesper Bratt (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    B. Smith1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    J. Sanderson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD31011007427
OTTOTT0815215328

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    E. Haula(15)
    J. Hughes (47), B. Smith (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:50
  2. NJD
    O. Palat(11)
    L. Hughes (35), A. Holtz (12)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    12:36
  3. NJD
    B. Smith(5)
    J. Bratt (52)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    16:34

2nd period

  1. OTT
    J. Sanderson(9)PPG
    D. Batherson (34), C. Giroux (41)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-1
    0:33
  2. NJD
    N. Hischier(26)
    J. Bratt (53), B. Smith (9)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-1
    11:04

3rd period

  1. OTT
    C. Giroux(21)PPG
    J. Sanderson (25), D. Batherson (35)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    3:37
  2. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(34)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-3
    14:17

Penalties

NJD 15 PIM·OTT 11 PIM

1st

  • 5:20OTTBokondji Imama · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid5 min
  • 5:20NJDKurtis MacDermid · Fightingdrawn by Bokondji Imama5 min
  • 14:22OTTDrake Batherson · High stickingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 20:00NJDKevin Bahl · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 20:00NJDKevin Bahl · Roughingdrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
  • 20:00OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min

2nd

  • 8:51OTTBokondji Imama · Interferencedrawn by Chris Tierney2 min

3rd

  • 3:16NJDBrendan Smith · Hookingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 4:19OTTThomas Chabot · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Jack Hughes0 min
  • 15:57NJDNick DeSimone · Holdingdrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
  • 20:00NJDNico Hischier · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNJD goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Ondrej Palat, 1st 12:36 — NJD 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.25B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.18C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.18S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.12R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.11M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.10C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.07T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.07R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.07J. Smejkal · Missed · xG 0.07R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.06S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.06R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.05J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · Goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.03A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.02R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.02M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.02M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01B. Imama · Missed · xG 0.01D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.01R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.01J. Smejkal · Missed · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 2.3 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsOTT
2.54 G
All situations
3 G2.3
2.24 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD53%47%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsOTT
27
Shots on goal
28
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
2/3
15
Penalty minutes
11
19
Hits
42
21
Blocked shots
22
12
Giveaways
14
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2B. SmithD123+210.03432—22:47
88K. BahlD000+200.00124—22:25
13N. HischierC101+130.160225520:36
86J. HughesC011+320.21010020:29
63J. BrattL022+330.32000—19:35
28T. MeierR000-160.40050—19:26
43L. HughesD011+100.00020—19:20
17S. NemecD000020.10100—19:14
91D. MercerC000010.29000018:22
56E. HaulaL101+140.661105617:47
57N. DeSimoneD000+100.01402—17:27
71J. SiegenthalerD000000.02130—15:39
92T. NosekL000+120.041005015:06
18O. PalatL101+110.12100—14:56
10A. HoltzR011+110.09100—13:08
11C. TierneyC000-100.0001010008:44
42C. LazarC000010.013106706:38
23K. MacDermidL000000.00105—05:27
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)28253.8932.29-0.7160:00

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).