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Maple Leafs at Canadiens
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
Montréal Canadiens
2
FinalTV CBC, SN·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-2. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 2:38 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.2 to 2.6; shots on goal were TOR 30, MTL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Cayden Primeau stopped 18 of 18 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Max Domi (1 G), 2. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mike Matheson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Domi1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    M. Matheson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR0441808430
MTLMTL092809226

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. TOR
    M. Domi(9)
    I. Lyubushkin (8), M. Rielly (46)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:21
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(64)
    T. Bertuzzi (20)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    2:38
  3. TOR
    M. Knies(14)
    W. Nylander (56), T. Brodie (23)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    7:20
  4. TOR
    B. McMann(15)
    M. Marner (52)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-0
    7:54
  5. MTL
    N. Suzuki(33)PPG
    J. Slafkovský (29), M. Matheson (44)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-1
    9:05
  6. MTL
    C. Caufield(23)
    M. Matheson (45), N. Suzuki (41)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +8 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:32

Penalties

TOR 9 PIM·MTL 9 PIM

2nd

  • 7:25MTLMichael Pezzetta · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Reaves5 min
  • 7:25TORRyan Reaves · Fightingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta5 min
  • 8:53TORTyler Bertuzzi · High stickingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 10:01MTLBrendan Gallagher · Roughingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min
  • 10:01TORJake McCabe · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

3rd

  • 9:01MTLJoel Armia · Hookingdrawn by Bobby McMann2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTOR goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, 2nd 2:38 — TOR 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.27C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.20N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.19C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.15N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.12T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.12T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.11N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.11A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.10N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.09C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.09N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.07J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.07C. White · Missed · xG 0.07M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.06T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.05J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.05T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.05C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.04T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.04N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.03C. White · Missed · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.02J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.01J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.00J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.00J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 2.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsMTL
3.24 G
All situations
2 G2.6
3.04 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR60%40%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.14 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsMTL
30
Shots on goal
26
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/1
Power play
1/1
9
Penalty minutes
9
24
Hits
36
21
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
10
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD011+110.05130—22:40
78T. BrodieD011+110.05020—21:02
88W. NylanderR011020.030005020:34
22J. McCabeD000+110.02332—19:50
46I. LyubushkinD011+110.06430—19:38
34A. MatthewsC101+230.681006019:09
2S. BenoitD000+100.01210—18:30
55M. GiordanoD000+110.02210—17:22
16M. MarnerR011+120.15000—17:20
91J. TavaresC000+120.211006017:04
59T. BertuzziL011+250.65102—16:34
74B. McMannC101+120.59400015:45
11M. DomiC101+240.21000015:20
29P. HolmbergR000010.042202515:16
23M. KniesL101020.23100—13:49
24C. DewarC000010.04120010:51
64D. KampfC000000.000203610:09
75R. ReavesR000010.11125—06:55
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35I. Samsonov(W)26242.9232.61+0.6160:00

Season series

TOR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).