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San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV NBCSCA+, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 3-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Boldy's goal at 0:18 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.6 to 1.4; shots on goal were SJS 27, MIN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 26 of 27 (.963). Three stars: 1. Matt Boldy (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (2 A), 3. Filip Gustavsson (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS0119017127
MINMIN11507210332

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:01

2nd period

  1. SJS
    batxG 0.04win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:26

3rd period

  1. MIN
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:18
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.36win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:06

Penalties

SJS 4 PIM·MIN 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:56SJSMikael Granlund · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 12:01SJSserved by F. Zadina · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 14:04MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalSJS goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Boldy, 3rd 0:18 — MIN 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.37K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.32M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.29M. Khusnutdinov · Missed · xG 0.17M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.15M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.14K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.14M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.12D. Chisholm · Missed · xG 0.12K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.12B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.11J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.10M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.09J. Lucchini · Missed · xG 0.09M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.06V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.05F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.04F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.03D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.01J. Lucchini · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 3.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsMIN
1.41 G
All situations
2 G3.6
1.31 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
0 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS19%81%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.41 – 3.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsMIN
27
Shots on goal
32
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
21
Hits
11
18
Blocked shots
19
4
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38M. FerraroD000-100.00110—21:05
3H. ThrunD000+120.03130—21:04
4K. BurroughsD000-130.09620—20:46
33C. AddisonD000030.06230—20:43
64M. GranlundC101-120.100124719:48
72W. EklundL000-120.110005019:01
84J. RuttaD011-100.00100—18:54
20F. ZetterlundL000-100.0412010017:32
11L. KuninC000-130.193006717:03
10K. KostinC000-210.091105017:01
44M. VlasicD011-100.00120—15:10
68M. HoffmanC000010.06000014:41
7N. SturmC000000.000108914:36
90J. BaileyR000-110.05210—13:24
17T. BordeleauC000-130.31110013:09
22R. CarpenterC000000.140002911:49
62K. LabancR000030.02100—10:52
18F. ZadinaR000030.12000—09:55
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(L)31292.9353.24+1.2459:27

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).