Chicago Blackhawks at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 2-0. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Parker Kelly's goal at 6:08 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.2 to 1.4; shots on goal were CHI 19, OTT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 32 of 34 (.941); Anton Forsberg stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anton Forsberg (19 saves, 1.000), 2. Parker Kelly (1 G), 3. Jake Sanderson.
Three stars
- ★A. Forsberg19 saves, 1.000

- ★★P. Kelly1 G

- ★★★J. Sanderson

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
2 goals1st period
0-10:36
0-26:08
Penalties
1st
- 0:09
Artem Zub · Trippingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min
- 12:12
Taylor Raddysh · Hookingdrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min
2nd
- 15:24
Jason Dickinson · Trippingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
3rd
- 1:32
Artem Zub · Slashingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Parker Kelly, 1st 6:08 — 66% → 80%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.40 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.2
- 1.00 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.7
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.40 – 2.07
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 19
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 39%
- Faceoffs
- 61%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 29
- Hits
- 35
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 14
- Giveaways
- 16
- 4
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
2@
3Final
0@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
