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Philadelphia Flyers at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV NBCSP, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesse Ylonen's goal at 16:46 of the first period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.4, MTL 2.4; shots on goal were PHI 30, MTL 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 13 of 15 (.867); Cayden Primeau stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cayden Primeau (29 saves, .967), 2. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 1 A), 3. David Savard.

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Primeau29 saves, .967
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    D. Savard

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI0509116130
MTLMTL260625417

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(30)PPG
    snapxG 0.25win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:58
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.22win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:46

3rd period

  1. MTL
    J. Armia(13)EN
    wristxG 0.38win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-3
    17:05
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.04Video
    1-3
    18:59
  3. MTL
    backhandxG 0.38Video
    1-4
    19:56

Penalties

PHI 10 PIM·MTL 14 PIM

1st

  • 6:47MTLArber Xhekaj · Slashingdrawn by Tyson Foerster2 min
  • 11:37PHITravis Sanheim · Interferencedrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 20:00MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 20:00PHIScott Laughton · Roughingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min

2nd

  • 1:36PHIOwen Tippett · Cross checkingdrawn by Jayden Struble2 min
  • 1:36MTLJayden Struble · Roughingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 6:40PHIRonnie Attard · Trippingdrawn by Jesse Ylonen2 min
  • 11:51MTLColin White · Slashingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

3rd

  • 1:43MTLJosh Anderson · Hookingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 7:20MTLArber Xhekaj · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min
  • 16:39MTLJake Evans · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 16:39PHIGarnet Hathaway · Slashingdrawn by Cayden Primeau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalPHI goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Jesse Ylonen, 1st 16:46 — MTL 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Evans · Goal · xG 0.38J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.38N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.25J. Ylonen · Goal · xG 0.22J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.20J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.11C. White · Missed · xG 0.10J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.10M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.08J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.07J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.05J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.04J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.04A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.04J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.03K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.03J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.03C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.03C. White · Missed · xG 0.02J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.02K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.01K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 2.4 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsMTL
2.41 G
All situations
2 G2.4
1.41 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI64%36%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 1.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsMTL
30
Shots on goal
17
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
1/2
10
Penalty minutes
14
21
Hits
27
13
Blocked shots
22
9
Giveaways
11
1
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. YorkD000-130.18120—28:05
6T. SanheimD000020.07102—21:58
21S. LaughtonC000-130.242224221:05
11T. KonecnyR011-240.46410—21:02
71T. FoersterR000-120.1911010020:46
5E. ZamulaD000-100.01000—19:01
86J. FarabeeL000020.28100—18:01
48M. FrostC000-120.101006716:54
74O. TippettR101-240.10102—16:50
25R. PoehlingC000020.320003616:04
77E. JohnsonD000-120.05120—15:31
50A. GinningD000000.00120—13:21
23R. AttardD000000.00012—12:28
19G. HathawayR011020.0830210012:05
10B. BrinkR000010.24000—11:27
89C. AtkinsonR000000.00310—10:54
14S. CouturierC000010.0911010010:26
62O. LycksellR000000.00000—08:53
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(L)15132.8671.68-0.3257:48

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).