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Devils at Maple Leafs
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
▸6
Toronto Maple Leafs
3
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 6-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Devils led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Willman's goal at 13:05 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals were close — NJD 3.1, TOR 3.2; shots on goal were NJD 25, TOR 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 42 of 45 (.933); Joseph Woll stopped 19 of 24 (.792), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nico Hischier (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jesper Bratt (3 A), 3. Jake Allen (42 saves, .933).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt3 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Allen42 saves, .933

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD21021025625
TORTOR125210010345

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    T. Bertuzzi(16)
    M. Domi (33), T. Brodie (19)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:04
  2. NJD
    L. Hughes(9)
    J. Bratt (47), N. Hischier (33)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:25
  3. NJD
    N. Hischier(24)
    J. Bratt (48), T. Meier (21)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:56

2nd period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(40)
    C. Timmins (6), M. Knies (17)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:14
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(59)
    I. Lyubushkin (7), T. Brodie (20)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:51
  3. NJD
    T. Meier(24)
    J. Bratt (49), N. Hischier (34)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-3
    5:35
  4. NJD
    M. Willman(2)
    C. Lazar (16), C. Tierney (7)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +20 ptsVideo
    4-3
    13:05

3rd period

  1. NJD
    J. Hughes(25)
    C. Lazar (17)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +10 ptsVideo
    5-3
    16:47
  2. NJD
    J. Hughes(26)EN
    C. Lazar (18), B. Smith (7)
    wristxG 0.79win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-3
    18:51

Penalties

NJD 4 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:21NJDKevin Bahl · Roughingdrawn by Simon Benoit2 min

2nd

  • 7:09TORIlya Lyubushkin · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min
  • 18:45NJDJohn Marino · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

3rd

  • 6:18TORBobby McMann · Trippingdrawn by Luke Hughes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalNJD goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Max Willman, 2nd 13:05 — NJD 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.26M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.20T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.20M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.16T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.13A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.11P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.11N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.10N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.09A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.07M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.07P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.07W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.06J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.06P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.05P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.04T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.04J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.04M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.04W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.03P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.03N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.03T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.03B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.02D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.02N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.02J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.02N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.01W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.01W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.01A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR3 G · 3.2 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsTOR
3.15 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.15 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD35%65%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 3.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsTOR
25
Shots on goal
45
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
28
Hits
47
15
Blocked shots
7
16
Giveaways
19
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88K. BahlD000+100.00522—21:29
43L. HughesD101+230.13120—20:51
6J. MarinoD000+400.00222—20:17
28T. MeierR112+240.4110010020:04
86J. HughesC202+241.19000019:59
13N. HischierC123+330.140005719:53
63J. BrattL033+210.16210—19:19
56E. HaulaL000+210.053102519:13
91D. MercerC000-120.28000018:55
2B. SmithD011000.02510—18:45
57N. DeSimoneD000000.00030—18:24
17S. NemecD000-100.00110—16:57
18O. PalatL000-120.08000—16:39
92T. NosekL000-220.162208015:53
42C. LazarC033+300.004004309:19
10A. HoltzR000-120.20100—08:55
11C. TierneyC011000.00000005:46
46M. WillmanC101010.25100005:22
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)45423.9333.22+0.2260:00

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).