Skip to content
Hurricanes at Penguins
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
1
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
FinalTV SN-PIT, BSSO·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Rust's goal at 18:09 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.2 to 2.6; shots on goal were CAR 39, PIT 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 18 of 20 (.900); Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Nedeljkovic (38 saves, .974), 2. Jesse Puljujarvi (1 G), 3. Bryan Rust (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    A. Nedeljkovic38 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Puljujarvi1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    B. Rust1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR09115015139
PITPIT082529422

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. PIT
    J. Puljujarvi(3)
    L. Eller (13), V. Puustinen (14)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:41
  2. CAR
    D. Orlov(6)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:17
  3. PIT
    B. Rust(23)
    S. Crosby (40)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:09

3rd period

  1. PIT
    D. O'Connor(11)EN
    S. Crosby (41)
    backhandxG 0.86win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:04
  2. PIT
    S. Crosby(35)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.36Video
    1-4
    19:37

Penalties

CAR 9 PIM·PIT 9 PIM

1st

  • 3:54PITReilly Smith · Hookingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 13:30CARAndrei Svechnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 17:25CARDmitry Orlov · Hookingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min

3rd

  • 3:03CARStefan Noesen · Fightingdrawn by Jonathan Gruden5 min
  • 3:03PITJonathan Gruden · Fightingdrawn by Stefan Noesen5 min
  • 7:18PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalCAR goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Bryan Rust, 2nd 18:09 — PIT 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.86D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.43S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.36S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.25J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.14V. Puustinen · On goal · xG 0.12E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.12E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.11E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.11M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.10B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.07V. Puustinen · Missed · xG 0.06M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.06K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.04J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.03J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.03D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02J. Puljujarvi · Goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01J. St. Ivany · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.00D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.00P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 3.2 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPIT
2.61 G
All situations
2 G3.2
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR69%31%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 1.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPIT
39
Shots on goal
22
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
15
Hits
18
10
Blocked shots
19
10
Giveaways
12
11
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20S. AhoC000-230.191005922:14
76B. SkjeiD000-330.15100—22:04
74J. SlavinD000020.02110—21:53
24S. JarvisR000020.25210—21:50
59J. GuentzelC000-160.87110021:06
8B. BurnsD000-260.19220—20:50
22B. PesceD000-120.07210—20:28
88M. NecasC000-310.051006716:38
7D. OrlovD101030.12102—16:16
37A. SvechnikovR000-220.02002—16:03
92E. KuznetsovC000-210.051002715:08
5J. ChatfieldD000020.01010—15:03
11J. StaalC000-130.250103113:44
48J. MartinookL000020.1101010012:34
86T. TeravainenC000000.12000012:32
18J. DruryC000010.041104311:30
82J. KotkaniemiC000000.000008009:35
23S. NoesenR000000.05105—08:28
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(L)20182.9001.58-0.4258:04

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).