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Seattle Kraken at Utah Mammoth

Final/OTTV ROOT-NW, SCRIPPS·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Seattle Kraken 2-1 in overtime, Dylan Guenther scoring at 4:12. The Kraken scored first; the Coyotes answered. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Guenther's goal at 4:12 of overtime, which took the Coyotes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.8 to 2.6; shots on goal were SEA 28, ARI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Guenther (1 G), 2. Karel Vejmelka (27 saves, .964), 3. Clayton Keller (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    D. Guenther1 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    K. Vejmelka27 saves, .964
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Keller1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SEASEA0100101602128
ARIARI011071612226

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.03win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:40
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.43win prob +46 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:52

Overtime

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.20win prob +49 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:12

Penalties

SEA 9 PIM·ARI 11 PIM

1st

  • 16:19ARIAlexander Kerfoot · Holdingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min

2nd

  • 0:10ARINick Bjugstad · Trippingdrawn by Ryker Evans2 min
  • 2:53SEAAdam Larsson · High stickingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
  • 6:50ARIMichael Carcone · Trippingdrawn by Ryker Evans2 min

3rd

  • 4:24SEAWill Borgen · Fightingdrawn by Michael Kesselring5 min
  • 4:24ARIMichael Kesselring · Fightingdrawn by Will Borgen5 min
  • 8:32SEAEeli Tolvanen · High stickingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalSEA goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Guenther, OT 4:12 — ARI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.43D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.20M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.19N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.16N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.14D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.14C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.12D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.11N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.10L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.10C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.10N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.09D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.09J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.09M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.07M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.07L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.06S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.05M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04J. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.04J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.04L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.02L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.01T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.01C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.01M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI2 G · 2.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsARI
2.61 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.40 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA45%55%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 2.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsARI
28
Shots on goal
26
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
20
Hits
30
8
Blocked shots
20
4
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD000-240.11122—24:23
10M. BeniersC000-100.360005023:07
24J. OleksiakD000010.03110—22:53
39R. EvansD101+130.15210—21:39
7J. EberleR000-110.24100—20:43
19J. McCannL011+130.360104419:34
8B. DumoulinD000020.11110—18:18
95A. BurakovskyL000000.25000—18:00
37Y. GourdeC000-110.052005017:39
20E. TolvanenR000010.08302—17:11
17J. SchwartzL011+110.01210—17:05
3W. BorgenD000010.08215—16:18
13B. TanevL000-120.20200—14:50
4J. SchultzD000020.06000—14:49
22O. BjorkstrandR000000.02200—13:51
52T. KartyeL000040.2510010010:14
90T. TatarL000020.24000—09:39
41P. BellemareL000000.000007108:23
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(O)26242.9232.84+0.8464:12

Season series

ARI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).