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Blue Jackets at Avalanche
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
FinalTV ALT, BSOH·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 6-1. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ross Colton's goal at 5:43 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 5.5 to 1.6; shots on goal were CBJ 24, COL 50. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 94% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 44 of 50 (.880); Alexandar Georgiev stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (2 G, 1 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cale Makar (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ1507012124
COLCOL114222314650

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    D. Severson(7)
    J. Gaudreau (41), B. Jenner (12)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:28
  2. COL
    C. Makar(18)
    A. Lehkonen (13), J. Drouin (30)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:00

2nd period

  1. COL
    R. Colton(15)
    M. Wood (14), Z. Parise (4)
    pokexG 0.83win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:43
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(38)
    J. Manson (14), S. Girard (15)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    7:07

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(43)
    C. Makar (59)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-4
    6:01
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(39)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (76), J. Drouin (31)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    7:14
  3. COL
    V. Nichushkin(26)
    C. Mittelstadt (36), M. Rantanen (57)
    wristxG 0.15Video
    1-6
    13:38

Penalties

CBJ 11 PIM·COL 5 PIM

1st

  • 12:13CBJErik Gudbranson · Trippingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 16:54CBJAlex Nylander · Trippingdrawn by Jack Johnson2 min

3rd

  • 6:22CBJJake Bean · High stickingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 18:26CBJMathieu Olivier · Fightingdrawn by Josh Manson5 min
  • 18:26COLJosh Manson · Fightingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalCBJ goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Ross Colton, 2nd 5:43 — COL 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Colton · Goal · xG 0.83C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.44S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.19N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.18A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.17V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.16Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.15R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.15M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.15M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.14M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.14J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.13A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.12C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.11D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.10B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.10C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.10C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.10J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.07R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.06S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.06J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.05M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.04M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.04A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.00J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00
COL6 G · 5.5 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsCOL
1.61 G
All situations
6 G5.5
1.61 G
Even strength
5 G4.8
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ6%94%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 5.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsCOL
24
Shots on goal
50
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/0
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
5
20
Hits
26
24
Blocked shots
11
2
Giveaways
9
16
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000-160.22020—22:45
78D. SeversonD101-210.20120—22:00
22J. BeanD000-200.00012—21:49
38B. JennerC011-110.043105320:18
44E. GudbransonD000-100.04042—20:11
9I. ProvorovD000-140.28120—20:00
42A. TexierL000-210.01010—18:54
4C. SillingerC000-230.261203816:43
92A. NylanderL000-130.22012—16:20
13J. GaudreauL011-110.14010—15:33
86K. MarchenkoR000-210.03000—14:54
24M. OlivierR000-110.07405—13:58
23J. ChristiansenD000-100.04330—13:51
16B. GaunceC000-100.004008012:27
82M. PyyhtiaL000020.10120—12:05
64T. Fix-WolanskyR000000.00020—11:51
72C. MeyerR000-100.00200—10:52
10D. VoronkovL000000.000002210:37
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)50446.8805.55-0.4560:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).