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Montréal Canadiens at Edmonton Oilers

Final/OTTV SNW, TSN2·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-2 in overtime, Leon Draisaitl scoring at 3:18. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 3:18 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were MTL 25, EDM 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Calvin Pickard stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G), 2. Mattias Ekholm (2 A), 3. Nick Suzuki (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    M. Ekholm2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL080102700225
EDMEDM171901016332

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:20

2nd period

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.39win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:55

3rd period

  1. MTL
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:32
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.10win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:43

Overtime

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid (82), D. Nurse (16)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    3:18

Penalties

MTL 15 PIM·EDM 11 PIM

1st

  • 2:29MTLMichael Pezzetta · Fightingdrawn by Sam Carrick5 min
  • 2:29EDMSam Carrick · Fightingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta5 min
  • 15:55EDMDarnell Nurse · Trippingdrawn by Alex Newhook2 min

2nd

  • 10:43EDMRyan McLeod · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Harris2 min
  • 16:37MTLMike Matheson · Roughingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min

3rd

  • 2:54MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Trippingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 4:05EDMLeon Draisaitl · Hookingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 17:17MTLDavid Savard · Hookingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 19:32MTLJoel Armia · High sticking double minordrawn by Adam Henrique4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalMTL goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, OT 3:18 — EDM 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.39C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.31C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.29C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.22E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.20Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.15R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.15R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.12M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.09E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.06W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM3 G · 4.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsEDM
2.52 G
All situations
3 G4.0
1.82 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.70 G
Power play
1 G2.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL27%73%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 3.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsEDM
25
Shots on goal
32
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/3
Power play
1/5
15
Penalty minutes
11
26
Hits
28
21
Blocked shots
20
12
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000-120.10142—28:05
21K. GuhleD101010.11140—23:50
14N. SuzukiC101+110.193005323:37
58D. SavardD011000.00102—20:39
22C. CaufieldR000+140.40110—20:30
71J. EvansC011+120.180106720:22
20J. SlafkovskýL011+120.06302—19:27
40J. ArmiaR000060.40214—18:40
72A. XhekajD000+110.04120—18:06
15A. NewhookC000-100.000205517:41
54J. HarrisD011010.04210—16:43
26J. KovacevicD000000.04010—14:24
11B. GallagherR000-100.00010—13:17
17J. AndersonR000020.18020—12:41
89J. RoyR000-110.37210—12:21
49R. Harvey-PinardL000010.342005010:42
36C. WhiteC000-200.0210010006:49
55M. PezzettaL000010.08605—05:37
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(O)32293.9064.01+1.0163:13

Season series

EDM leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).