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Rangers at Lightning
NHL

New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
3
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸6
FinalTV BSSUN, MSG·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New York Rangers 6-3. The Lightning came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Steven Stamkos's goal at 12:45 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 60% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYR 28, TBL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.3 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Point (3 G, 3 A), 2. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 4 A), 3. Anthony Duclair (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Point3 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 4 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Duclair1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR21106111328
TBLTBL05210413628

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    A. Panarin(36)
    V. Trocheck (38), A. Lafrenière (22)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:58
  2. NYR
    B. Schneider(4)
    M. Zibanejad (36), J. Roslovic (18)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    16:56

2nd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(34)
    N. Kucherov (70)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:41
  2. TBL
    A. Duclair(18)
    B. Point (35), N. Kucherov (71)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:43

3rd period

  1. NYR
    J. Roslovic(7)
    A. Fox (42), C. Kreider (29)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:48
  2. TBL
    B. Point(35)
    V. Hedman (53), N. Kucherov (72)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-3
    3:41
  3. TBL
    S. Stamkos(25)PPG
    B. Point (36), A. Cirelli (21)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-4
    12:45
  4. TBL
    B. Point(36)
    N. Kucherov (73), V. Hedman (54)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-5
    14:48
  5. TBL
    N. Kucherov(39)EN
    B. Point (37), N. Paul (18)
    wristxG 0.86win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-6
    16:22

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:21TBLConor Sheary · Trippingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min

2nd

  • 9:30TBLVictor Hedman · Slashingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 14:04NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

3rd

  • 3:17NYRChris Kreider · Roughingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 3:17TBLMathew Dumba · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Igor Shesterkin2 min
  • 12:08NYRWill Cuylle · Slashingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNYR goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Steven Stamkos, 3rd 12:45 — TBL 60% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.86B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.26A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.23B. Point · Goal · xG 0.21B. Point · Goal · xG 0.19A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.17S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.17A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.16B. Point · On goal · xG 0.14B. Point · Missed · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.11B. Point · Missed · xG 0.09B. Point · Goal · xG 0.09B. Point · On goal · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.08A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.08V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.07B. Point · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.05H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.04M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.02N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.02S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.00M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL6 G · 3.6 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsTBL
2.13 G
All situations
5 G3.6
1.63 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR39%61%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsTBL
28
Shots on goal
28
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
32
21
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
5
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011-240.19030—22:38
16V. TrocheckC011-100.221104122:13
79K. MillerD000010.00410—21:18
4B. SchneiderD101+130.15410—19:20
13A. LafrenièreL011-110.15012—18:47
56E. GustafssonD000-100.01330—18:30
10A. PanarinL101+120.27100—18:22
55R. LindgrenD000-110.05130—17:20
6Z. JonesD000040.14200—17:09
20C. KreiderL011-120.240023315:48
91A. WennbergC000000.001304514:33
96J. RoslovicC112-130.21010014:33
93M. ZibanejadC011-120.152104314:04
21B. GoodrowC000-120.014106913:46
26J. VeseyL000-100.06100—13:21
24K. KakkoR000010.15010—12:54
22J. BrodzinskiC000-110.08010010:45
50W. CuylleL000010.01302—10:12
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)27225.8152.75-2.2559:50

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).