Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 2-1 in overtime, Drake Batherson scoring at 3:13. The Senators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drake Batherson's goal at 3:13 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.9 to 3.0; shots on goal were PIT 35, OTT 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joonas Korpisalo (34 saves, .971), 2. Drake Batherson (1 G), 3. Tristan Jarry (37 saves, .949).
Three stars
- ★J. Korpisalo34 saves, .971

- ★★D. Batherson1 G

- ★★★T. Jarry37 saves, .949

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals3rd period
0-111:06
1-119:37
Overtime
1-23:13
Penalties
1st
- 2:17
Mark Kastelic · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by John Ludvig2 min
- 2:17
Mark Kastelic · Fightingdrawn by John Ludvig5 min
- 2:17
John Ludvig · Fightingdrawn by Mark Kastelic5 min
- 19:55
Sidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
2nd
- 13:07
Kris Letang · High stickingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
3rd
- 15:20
Mathieu Joseph · Roughingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
- 15:20
Kris Letang · Roughingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Drake Batherson, OT 3:13 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.01 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.9
- 2.31 G
- Even strength
- 2 G3.5
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 3.83
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 35
- Shots on goal
- 39
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/2
- 11
- Penalty minutes
- 9
- 22
- Hits
- 27
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 12
- Giveaways
- 14
- 13
- Takeaways
- 12
Box score
every player line
Season series
OTT leads 3-0
5@
2Final
4@
5OTFinal
1@
2OTthis game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
