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Predators at Blue Jackets
NHL

Nashville Predators at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸2
Columbus Blue Jackets
1
FinalTV BSSO, BSOH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 2-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Luke Evangelista's goal at 4:16 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.6 to 3.3; shots on goal were NSH 49, CBJ 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.6 goals saved above expected; Daniil Tarasov stopped 47 of 49 (.959), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Daniil Tarasov (47 saves, .959), 2. Kevin Lankinen (33 saves, .971), 3. Luke Evangelista (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    D. Tarasov47 saves, .959
  2. ★★
    NSH
    K. Lankinen33 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    L. Evangelista1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH119016114249
CBJCBJ010113011134

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    K. Sherwood(8)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:19

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    A. Texier(10)
    I. Provorov (23)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:50

3rd period

  1. NSH
    L. Evangelista(13)
    M. Jankowski (2), T. Novak (23)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:16

Penalties

NSH 4 PIM·CBJ 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:17CBJMathieu Olivier · Trippingdrawn by Cole Smith2 min

2nd

  • 5:36CBJBoone Jenner · High stickingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 10:18NSHRoman Josi · Holdingdrawn by Egor Chinakhov2 min
  • 18:55CBJZach Werenski · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

3rd

  • 7:03NSHAlexandre Carrier · Hookingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalNSH goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Luke Evangelista, 3rd 4:16 — NSH 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.44M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.23B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.21D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.19J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.17E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.16A. Texier · Goal · xG 0.15A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.14T. Fix-Wolansky · On goal · xG 0.13A. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.11A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.11J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.11B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.11A. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.10E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.09D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.09D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.08M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.08A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.06E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.06A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.06K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.05A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.05A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.05D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.03E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.00D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.00T. Fix-Wolansky · On goal · xG 0.00J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ1 G · 3.6 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCBJ
3.32 G
All situations
1 G3.6
2.32 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH46%54%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.28 – 3.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCBJ
49
Shots on goal
34
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
23
17
Blocked shots
12
2
Giveaways
3
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000070.26112—23:26
3J. LauzonD000+230.03310—21:39
45A. CarrierD000+240.07142—21:19
27R. McDonaghD000-100.00030—20:16
90R. O'ReillyC000010.260105619:53
9F. ForsbergL000070.45200—17:58
14G. NyquistR000020.05000—17:48
10C. SissonsC000-110.150006417:28
57D. FabbroD000010.02020—14:49
77L. EvangelistaR101+120.11000—14:34
21A. BeauvillierR000-130.16200—14:31
16J. ZuckerL000-130.52100—14:16
36C. SmithR000+100.00320—14:14
47M. McCarronC000+130.330005814:08
2L. SchennD000-120.06120—13:22
82T. NovakC011+110.220007113:00
44K. SherwoodL101+150.3441010011:44
17M. JankowskiL011+140.310007511:35
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(W)34331.9713.62+2.6260:00

Season series

NSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).