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Pittsburgh Penguins at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV SN-PIT, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Corey Perry's goal at 2:57 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were PIT 23, EDM 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 31 of 37 (.838), 1.8 goals below expected; Calvin Pickard stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Hyman (2 G), 2. Ryan McLeod (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cody Ceci (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. McLeod1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. Ceci1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT080619123
EDMEDM111411115637

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.59win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    14:07

2nd period

  1. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:57
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    5:55
  3. EDM
    B. Kulak (8), E. Kane (15)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-4
    18:47
  4. EDM
    snapxG 0.04win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-5
    19:10

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.20Video
    0-6
    6:03
  2. PIT
    R. Smith (16), R. Rakell (18)
    snapxG 0.19Video
    1-6
    12:23

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:36EDMMattias Janmark · Interferencedrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min

2nd

  • 11:22PITserved by E. Bemstrom · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:05EDMBrett Kulak · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Jansen Harkins0 min

3rd

  • 1:02PITKris Letang · Hookingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 1:49PITLars Eller · High stickingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 8:46EDMDarnell Nurse · High stickingdrawn by Emil Bemstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalPIT goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Corey Perry, 2nd 2:57 — EDM 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.59R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.37E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.32L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.32L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.30C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.20C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.13W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.11S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.11M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.10W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.09M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.07S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.05D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04C. Ceci · Goal · xG 0.04S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.03R. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM6 G · 4.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsEDM
2.41 G
All situations
6 G4.2
2.01 G
Even strength
6 G3.5
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT23%77%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 4.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsEDM
23
Shots on goal
37
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
29
17
Blocked shots
10
11
Giveaways
13
14
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28M. PetterssonD000-110.01020—22:07
65E. KarlssonD000-100.09330—22:01
58K. LetangD000-210.05132—20:55
10D. O'ConnorL000-310.03000—18:09
71E. MalkinC101-120.330005717:46
27R. GravesD000-100.02140—17:14
19R. SmithR011+100.00300—17:07
20L. EllerC000-130.121025016:59
73P. JosephD000-320.08300—16:57
87S. CrosbyC000-330.352003616:52
77J. CarterC000-210.1500010016:17
67R. RakellR011-120.38310—16:02
2C. RuhwedelD000-220.05210—15:51
55N. AcciariC000-310.101202215:09
48V. PuustinenR000010.07200—14:27
52E. BemstromC000-130.47110013:01
44J. GrudenL000-100.00400—10:02
43J. HarkinsC000000.13200007:07
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(L)37316.8384.23-1.7760:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).