Avalanche at Blackhawks 5-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Colorado Avalanche

▸5

Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV ESPN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Parise's goal at 17:58 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 62%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.1 to 1.3; shots on goal were COL 33, CHI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Justus Annunen stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Parise (2 G, 1 A), 2. Justus Annunen (24 saves, 1.000), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

★
Z. Parise2 G, 1 A
★★
J. Annunen24 saves, 1.000
★★★
N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
COL	110	311	112	533
CHI	013	05	06	024

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

Z. Parise(2)
J. Johnson (11)
wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
1-0
17:58

2nd period

R. Colton(13)PPG
Z. Parise (3), N. MacKinnon (64)
snapxG 0.38win prob +15 ptsVideo
2-0
6:56
Z. Parise(3)
R. Johansen (10), J. Drouin (24)
backhandxG 0.17win prob +11 ptsVideo
3-0
7:38
D. Toews(11)
M. Rantanen (46), C. Makar (50)
snapxG 0.05win prob +3 ptsVideo
4-0
19:58

3rd period

N. MacKinnon(36)
C. Makar (51)
wristxG 0.04Video
5-0
17:32

Penalties

7 PIM·

7 PIM

2nd

4:58Connor Bedard · Interferencedrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
8:34Bowen Byram · Holdingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
11:23Reese Johnson · Fightingdrawn by Chris Wagner5 min
11:23Chris Wagner · Fightingdrawn by Reese Johnson5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: CHI

Biggest swing: Zach Parise, 1st 17:58 — COL 47% → 62%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 1.3 xG · 31 att

←

attacks

attacks →

5 G · 3.1 xG · 51 att CHI

0 G · 1.3 xG · 31 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

3.15 G
All situations: 0 G1.3; 2.24 G
Even strength: 0 G1.0; 0.81 G
Power play: 0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

80%20%

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 1.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

33
Shots on goal: 24; 43%
Faceoffs: 57%; 1/1
Power play: 0/1; 7
Penalty minutes: 7; 20
Hits: 18; 10
Blocked shots: 17; 4
Giveaways: 12; 2
Takeaways: 5

Box score

every player line

Colorado Avalanche skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
8C. MakarD	0	2	2	+2	3	0.29	0	0	0	—	22:20
7D. ToewsD	1	0	1	+2	2	0.11	1	2	0	—	21:14
96M. RantanenR	0	1	1	+2	1	0.12	1	0	0	67	20:40
42J. MansonD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	2	1	0	—	19:20
62A. LehkonenL	0	0	0	+2	3	0.34	1	0	0	—	19:19
29N. MacKinnonC	1	1	2	+1	4	0.38	1	0	0	50	19:15
49S. GirardD	0	0	0	+1	4	0.11	0	0	0	—	18:58
4B. ByramD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	2	—	18:49
3J. JohnsonD	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	3	2	0	—	17:33
28M. WoodL	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	2	0	0	100	15:45
12R. JohansenC	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	3	0	0	42	15:27
20R. ColtonC	1	0	1	+2	3	0.63	2	0	0	63	15:25
27J. DrouinL	0	1	1	+1	3	0.13	0	2	0	33	15:24
9Z. PariseL	2	1	3	+2	5	0.61	0	0	0	—	15:22
25L. O'ConnorR	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	1	1	0	—	14:43
11A. CoglianoC	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	2	0	0	10:31
94J. KivirantaL	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	2	0	0	—	09:31
14C. WagnerR	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	5	—	08:24

Colorado Avalanche goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
60J. Annunen(W)	24	24	0	1.000	1.30	+1.30	60:00

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

2nd

Box score