St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2 in overtime, Connor McDavid scoring at 4:34. The Oilers came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 4:34 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were STL 34, EDM 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Stuart Skinner stopped 32 of 34 (.941). Three stars: 1. Zach Hyman (2 G), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 3. Robert Thomas (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★Z. Hyman2 G

- ★★C. McDavid1 G, 2 A

- ★★★R. Thomas1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-02:19
2-04:49
2-118:16
2nd period
2-24:54
Overtime
2-34:34
Penalties
1st
- 2:05
Leon Draisaitl · High stickingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min
- 18:08
Kevin Hayes · Trippingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
2nd
- 14:30
Darnell Nurse · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 20:00
Evan Bouchard · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
3rd
- 9:45
Oskar Sundqvist · High stickingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Connor McDavid, OT 4:34 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.42 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.2
- 2.11 G
- Even strength
- 2 G3.1
- 0.31 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 3.20
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 28
- Hits
- 35
- 24
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 12
- Giveaways
- 12
- 12
- Takeaways
- 13
Box score
every player line
Season series
STL leads 2-1
3@
6Final
2@
3OTthis game
2@
3OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
