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Golden Knights at Maple Leafs
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸6
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
FinalTV SCRIPPS, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 6-2. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Barbashev's goal at 9:11 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were VGK 32, TOR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. William Karlsson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jonathan Marchessault (2 G, 1 A), 3. Shea Theodore (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    S. Theodore3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK09311312632
TORTOR09111110230

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. VGK
    I. Barbashev(14)
    M. Amadio (12), S. Theodore (20)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:11
  2. VGK
    M. Morelli(2)
    S. Theodore (21), S. Rempal (1)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    12:20
  3. TOR
    T. Bertuzzi(11)
    J. McCabe (15), W. Nylander (48)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:45
  4. VGK
    W. Karlsson(20)
    J. Marchessault (19)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:09

3rd period

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(31)
    W. Karlsson (21)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-1
    10:50
  2. TOR
    R. Reaves(3)
    P. Holmberg (8)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-2
    14:35
  3. VGK
    J. Marchessault(32)EN
    A. Pietrangelo (25)
    tip-inxG 0.20win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    18:23
  4. VGK
    N. Roy(11)
    S. Theodore (22), B. McNabb (16)
    wristxG 0.25Video
    6-2
    19:29

Penalties

VGK 2 PIM·TOR 8 PIM

1st

  • 18:12TORBobby McMann · Trippingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min

2nd

  • 3:45TORTJ Brodie · Holdingdrawn by Mason Morelli2 min
  • 13:03TORBobby McMann · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:58VGKMichael Amadio · Interferencedrawn by Mark Giordano2 min

3rd

  • 15:07TORMitch Marner · Trippingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
  • 17:46TORBench · Game misconduct head coach0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalVGK goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Ivan Barbashev, 2nd 9:11 — VGK 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.37D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.32T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.16M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.13R. Reaves · Goal · xG 0.13J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.13M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.11T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.11D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.08N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.08R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.08A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.07W. Lagesson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.05N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.05W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.05S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.05M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.04J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.04S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.03T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.03M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02W. Lagesson · Missed · xG 0.02B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.01J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.00M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.00W. Lagesson · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR2 G · 2.6 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsTOR
4.15 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.75 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK71%29%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.85 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsTOR
32
Shots on goal
30
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
39
Hits
32
23
Blocked shots
17
5
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD011+140.15250—23:54
27S. TheodoreD033+230.18030—22:01
20C. StephensonC000+220.610104419:46
81J. MarchessaultR213+340.60300—19:21
71W. KarlssonC112+230.923305619:02
22M. AmadioR011+120.17212—18:41
3B. McNabbD011+200.00440—18:26
23A. MartinezD000+100.01020—18:04
49I. BarbashevL101+220.33000—16:56
14N. HagueD000+120.02200—16:11
2Z. WhitecloudD000+100.00510—16:01
10N. RoyC101030.364102515:44
43P. CotterL000020.0520010014:49
19B. BrissonC000+210.25100014:47
55K. KolesarR000010.22400—12:29
51B. FroeseC000000.105107110:52
56S. RempalR011020.10000—10:39
11M. MorelliL101010.05210—10:17
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(W)30282.9332.64+0.6460:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).