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Canadiens at Penguins
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV SN-PIT, TSN2·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-1. The Canadiens scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drew O'Connor's goal at 11:51 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals were close — MTL 2.6, PIT 2.7; shots on goal were MTL 31, PIT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Cayden Primeau stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.7 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kris Letang (2 G), 2. Drew O'Connor (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tristan Jarry (30 saves, .968).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    K. Letang2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    D. O'Connor1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    T. Jarry30 saves, .968

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL1140809131
PITPIT11221015427

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:05
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:24

2nd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(16)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:30
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:51

3rd period

  1. PIT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.45win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    18:35

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

2nd

  • 3:46PITBryan Rust · Trippingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 11:24MTLBrendan Gallagher · Holdingdrawn by Jeff Carter2 min
  • 13:09MTLArber Xhekaj · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

3rd

  • 3:38PITRickard Rakell · Trippingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 7:13PITBryan Rust · Trippingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 11:49MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min
  • 11:49PITMarcus Pettersson · Roughingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalMTL goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Drew O'Connor, 2nd 11:51 — PIT 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Letang · Goal · xG 0.44R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.29S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.21B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.19S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.17V. Puustinen · Missed · xG 0.15B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.12V. Puustinen · On goal · xG 0.10E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.08N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06V. Puustinen · On goal · xG 0.06D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.06S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.06D. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.05D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.05L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.05M. Phillips · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.04J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.03S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.03D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01V. Puustinen · Missed · xG 0.01D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01V. Puustinen · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.00R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 2.7 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsPIT
2.61 G
All situations
3 G2.7
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL55%45%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.51 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsPIT
31
Shots on goal
27
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
10
Hits
22
9
Blocked shots
20
8
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD101-230.17100—24:52
72A. XhekajD000000.06112—21:23
20J. SlafkovskýL000-210.46110—21:00
21K. GuhleD000-120.03100—20:47
14N. SuzukiC000-210.050006020:13
22C. CaufieldR000-240.40000—20:12
15A. NewhookC000-110.060001519:16
58D. SavardD000000.00110—18:13
54J. HarrisD000030.03000—15:37
89J. RoyR000050.69020—14:45
40J. ArmiaR000-210.01010—14:30
17J. AndersonR000000.00212—14:24
71J. EvansC000-110.060107512:56
47J. StrubleD000000.01100—12:41
70T. PearsonL000+130.26100—12:07
11B. GallagherR000-130.2100210011:42
36C. WhiteC000+110.031003311:11
56J. YlonenR000+120.03010—10:54
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Primeau(L)26233.8852.27-0.7359:11

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).