Montréal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-1. The Canadiens scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drew O'Connor's goal at 11:51 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals were close — MTL 2.6, PIT 2.7; shots on goal were MTL 31, PIT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Cayden Primeau stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.7 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kris Letang (2 G), 2. Drew O'Connor (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tristan Jarry (30 saves, .968).
Three stars
- ★K. Letang2 G

- ★★D. O'Connor1 G, 1 A

- ★★★T. Jarry30 saves, .968

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-09:05
1-111:24
2nd period
1-211:30
1-311:51
3rd period
1-418:35
Penalties
2nd
- 3:46
Bryan Rust · Trippingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
- 11:24
Brendan Gallagher · Holdingdrawn by Jeff Carter2 min
- 13:09
Arber Xhekaj · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
3rd
- 3:38
Rickard Rakell · Trippingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
- 7:13
Bryan Rust · Trippingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
- 11:49
Josh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min
- 11:49
Marcus Pettersson · Roughingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Drew O'Connor, 2nd 11:51 — 72% → 87%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.61 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.7
- 2.21 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.1
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.51 – 2.23
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 31
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/2
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 10
- Hits
- 22
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 8
- Giveaways
- 5
- 4
- Takeaways
- 14
Box score
every player line
Season series
PIT leads 3-0
4@
3SOFinal
2@
3OTFinal
1@
4this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
