Flyers at Blackhawks 3-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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Philadelphia Flyers

▸3

Chicago Blackhawks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Garnet Hathaway's goal at 11:55 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were PHI 33, CHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Arvid Soderblom stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Travis Konecny (1 G), 2. Travis Sanheim (1 G), 3. Colin Blackwell (1 G).

Three stars

★
T. Konecny1 G
★★
T. Sanheim1 G
★★★
C. Blackwell1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
PHI	116	214	03	333
CHI	17	08	07	122

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

T. Sanheim(6)
S. Laughton (19), J. Farabee (26)
wristxG 0.02win prob +13 ptsVideo
1-0
6:18
C. Blackwell(4)
J. Anderson (8)
wristxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
1-1
7:35

2nd period

T. Konecny(27)
Unassisted
wristxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
2-1
3:15
G. Hathaway(6)
N. Cates (7), R. Poehling (11)
wristxG 0.35win prob +17 ptsVideo
3-1
11:55

Penalties

9 PIM·

5 PIM

1st

9:02Egor Zamula · Trippingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min

2nd

7:05served by J. Farabee · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

2:51Nick Seeler · Fightingdrawn by Reese Johnson5 min
2:51Reese Johnson · Fightingdrawn by Nick Seeler5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: CHI

Biggest swing: Garnet Hathaway, 2nd 11:55 — PHI 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 2.1 xG · 33 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 2.9 xG · 48 att CHI

1 G · 2.1 xG · 33 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.93 G
All situations: 1 G2.1; 2.33 G
Even strength: 1 G1.6; 0.00 G
Power play: 0 G0.5; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

54%46%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

33
Shots on goal: 22; 50%
Faceoffs: 50%; 0/0
Power play: 0/2; 9
Penalty minutes: 5; 21
Hits: 24; 21
Blocked shots: 20; 3
Giveaways: 9; 10
Takeaways: 7

Box score

every player line

Philadelphia Flyers skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
6T. SanheimD	1	0	1	+1	2	0.05	2	2	0	—	21:34
11T. KonecnyR	1	0	1	+2	4	0.42	0	0	0	100	21:02
26S. WalkerD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	6	0	—	20:46
86J. FarabeeL	0	1	1	0	2	0.04	0	0	0	—	19:56
8C. YorkD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	0	—	19:36
9J. DrysdaleD	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	—	19:23
74O. TippettR	0	0	0	0	5	0.11	2	0	0	100	18:20
89C. AtkinsonR	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	0	0	0	—	17:04
25R. PoehlingC	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	1	2	0	47	16:40
48M. FrostC	0	0	0	0	4	0.55	1	1	0	56	16:27
14S. CouturierC	0	0	0	-1	4	0.16	0	0	0	50	16:16
19G. HathawayR	1	0	1	+1	3	0.46	9	1	0	—	15:02
18M. StaalD	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	15:02
27N. CatesL	0	1	1	+1	2	0.31	0	0	0	—	14:01
21S. LaughtonC	0	1	1	+2	0	0.61	1	0	0	56	13:04
24N. SeelerD	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	4	5	—	13:01
5E. ZamulaD	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	2	—	11:10
44N. DeslauriersL	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	—	07:36

Philadelphia Flyers goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
33S. Ersson(W)	22	21	1	.955	2.13	+1.13	60:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Feb 213@1this game
Mar 305@1Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks

1st period

2nd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score