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Panthers at Sabres
NHL

Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸4
Buffalo Sabres
0
FinalTV MSG-B, BSFL·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anton Lundell's goal at 17:16 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 70% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.9 to 2.7; shots on goal were FLA 30, BUF 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 45 of 45 (1.000), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Eric Comrie stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Anthony Stolarz (45 saves, 1.000), 2. Carter Verhaeghe (2 G), 3. Anton Lundell (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Stolarz45 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe2 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Lundell1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA11216212430
BUFBUF010017018045

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(27)
    A. Barkov (40)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:26

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Lundell(7)
    M. Tkachuk (42), G. Forsling (17)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    17:16

3rd period

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(28)EN
    S. Reinhart (26), A. Barkov (41)
    wristxG 0.82win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-0
    18:27
  2. FLA
    R. Lomberg(4)PPG
    G. Forsling (18), A. Lundell (15)
    wristxG 0.14Video
    4-0
    19:48

Penalties

FLA 14 PIM·BUF 6 PIM

2nd

  • 11:02FLASam Bennett · Boardingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
  • 14:58BUFConnor Clifton · Interferencedrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min

3rd

  • 4:56FLANiko Mikkola · Holdingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
  • 12:59BUFKyle Okposo · High stickingdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich2 min
  • 19:43BUFZach Benson · High stickingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 19:48FLARyan Lomberg · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalFLA goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Anton Lundell, 2nd 17:16 — FLA 70% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.25J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.18Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.15A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.13K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.12K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.12C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.11K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.10T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.10K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.10C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.08A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.07R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.06C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.06A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.06J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.05C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.05D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.05J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.04T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.04T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.03A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.03J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.03C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bryson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.02C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bryson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.00R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.00R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.00R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.00D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.00R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF0 G · 2.7 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsBUF
3.93 G
All situations
0 G2.7
1.92 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
1.21 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA56%44%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsBUF
30
Shots on goal
45
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
0/2
14
Penalty minutes
6
47
Hits
21
8
Blocked shots
15
3
Giveaways
7
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000+100.21200—22:30
42G. ForslingD022+200.01110—20:42
77N. MikkolaD000+210.06212—19:32
16A. BarkovC022+220.071005419:15
13S. ReinhartC011+200.353001719:06
5A. EkbladD000+110.03420—19:00
23C. VerhaegheC202+221.07110018:43
91O. Ekman-LarssonD000040.12000—17:47
7D. KulikovD000000.01100—17:21
19M. TkachukL011+120.41300—17:03
9S. BennettC000010.162125014:36
17E. RodriguesC000+130.0410010014:11
15A. LundellC112+140.411005513:52
82K. StenlundC000010.010103613:52
27E. LuostarinenC000+120.28200013:42
21N. CousinsC000020.17500012:55
94R. LombergL101040.5310010—11:14
12J. GadjovichL000010.01810—10:44
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(W)454501.0002.73+2.7359:55

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).