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NHL

Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸3
Utah Mammoth
1
FinalTV BSN, BSWI·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Utah Mammoth 3-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonas Brodin's goal at 19:39 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 71% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.7 to 2.9; shots on goal were MIN 43, ARI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Connor Ingram stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Boldy (1 G, 1 A), 2. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G, 1 A), 3. Logan Cooley (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    L. Cooley1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN120110113343
ARIARI0701019126

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(24)PPG
    M. Boldy (21), K. Kaprizov (30)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:01

2nd period

  1. MIN
    J. Brodin(3)
    C. Dewar (3), M. Fleury (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    19:39

3rd period

  1. ARI
    L. Cooley(7)
    J. McBain (10), J. Välimäki (8)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:21
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(19)
    J. Eriksson Ek (20)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-1
    11:04

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·ARI 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:16MINFrederick Gaudreau · Trippingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
  • 8:15MINDakota Mermis · Holdingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 13:09ARIJ.J. Moser · High stickingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 18:53ARIMathew Dumba · Interferencedrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

2nd

  • 9:43ARINick Schmaltz · Hookingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 20:00MINJonas Brodin · Roughingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min

3rd

  • 5:58ARIMathew Dumba · High stickingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 11:58ARITravis Dermott · Holdingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalMIN goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Jonas Brodin, 2nd 19:39 — MIN 71% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.24N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.23J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.17N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.14J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.12B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.12L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.11A. Ruzicka · On goal · xG 0.11J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.10M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.10N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.09J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.08S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.08S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.07L. Cooley · Goal · xG 0.07S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.07L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.07J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.06S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.06S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.06L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.05B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.04L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.03S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.03L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.02J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.02D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI1 G · 2.9 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsARI
3.73 G
All situations
1 G2.9
1.92 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.81 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN62%38%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.58 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsARI
43
Shots on goal
26
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/5
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
28
Hits
26
24
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
3
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000050.08260—29:09
25J. BrodinD101+130.21132—27:48
14J. Eriksson EkC112+130.334105224:08
97K. KaprizovL011+181.01210—23:36
24Z. BogosianD000+120.02020—22:11
12M. BoldyL112+140.75210—20:43
36M. ZuccarelloR000050.20030—20:07
5J. MiddletonD000030.03310—19:35
90M. JohanssonL000000.00000—17:08
23M. RossiC000030.191104215:35
38R. HartmanR000-120.161102515:12
89F. GaudreauC000-100.11022010:36
26C. DewarC011+100.1240010010:06
21B. DuhaimeL000-110.0160010009:43
10V. LettieriC000+120.210005008:30
27J. LucchiniC000+120.22100007:38
6D. MermisD000000.00022—06:39
4J. MerrillD000000.02100—06:28
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)26251.9622.90+1.9059:08

Season series

MIN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).