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Red Wings at Oilers
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
4
Edmonton Oilers
▸8
FinalTV BSDETX, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Detroit Red Wings 8-4. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Holloway's goal at 0:44 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.0 to 3.7; shots on goal were DET 38, EDM 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 22 of 29 (.759), 4.3 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 34 of 38 (.895). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (6 A), 2. Evan Bouchard (1 G, 2 A), 3. Cody Ceci (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid6 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. Ceci1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET112216110438
EDMEDM211111514836

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(25)
    D. Nurse (12), C. Ceci (14)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:48
  2. EDM
    C. Ceci(1)
    D. Nurse (13), C. McDavid (51)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:05
  3. DET
    A. DeBrincat(19)PPG
    P. Kane (11), M. Seider (21)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:39

2nd period

  1. EDM
    E. Bouchard(12)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (33), C. McDavid (52)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:17
  2. DET
    J. Veleno(10)PPG
    D. Sprong (20), A. DeBrincat (26)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-3
    11:24
  3. DET
    P. Kane(8)
    J. Compher (19), D. Perron (15)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-3
    14:30

3rd period

  1. EDM
    D. Holloway(3)
    E. Bouchard (34), C. McDavid (53)
    backhandxG 0.34win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-4
    0:44
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(13)
    C. McDavid (54), E. Bouchard (35)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-5
    3:27
  3. EDM
    Z. Hyman(32)
    L. Draisaitl (37)
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-6
    12:55
  4. EDM
    E. Kane(19)
    C. McDavid (55), V. Desharnais (7)
    snapxG 0.19Video
    3-7
    13:41
  5. DET
    D. Perron(11)
    B. Chiarot (10), C. Fischer (9)
    tip-inxG 0.07Video
    4-7
    15:10
  6. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(14)
    C. McDavid (56)
    tip-inxG 0.09Video
    4-8
    17:49

Penalties

DET 0 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:43EDMLeon Draisaitl · Interferencedrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min

2nd

  • 11:14EDMSam Gagner · Trippingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min

3rd

  • 10:25EDMMattias Ekholm · Hookingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalDET goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Holloway, 3rd 0:44 — EDM 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.38D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.34Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.32E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.23E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.23E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.20E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.19M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.18L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.17E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.14E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.08M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.06R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.06C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.05S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.03C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · Goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.00S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM8 G · 3.7 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsEDM
4.04 G
All situations
8 G3.7
2.72 G
Even strength
8 G3.7
1.32 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET55%45%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.83 – 3.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsEDM
38
Shots on goal
36
39%
Faceoffs
61%
2/3
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
27
13
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
46J. PetryD000-230.06410—22:57
8B. ChiarotD011-210.03240—22:39
53M. SeiderD011-430.17120—20:38
88P. KaneR112030.45010—18:39
96J. WalmanD000-240.20000—17:56
93A. DeBrincatR112-340.50100—17:39
37J. CompherL011+110.001004317:26
71D. LarkinC000-320.382004516:39
41S. GostisbehereD000-130.13000—16:39
2O. MaattaD000-110.09130—16:21
57D. PerronL112+120.37100—16:02
23L. RaymondL000-210.11100—15:31
36C. FischerR011-210.12300—14:53
18A. CoppC000-200.003102914:21
17D. SprongR011-220.47000—14:10
27M. RasmussenC000-240.25000013:48
90J. VelenoC101-220.602104213:20
24K. KostinC000-210.07100010:22
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(L)29227.7592.75-4.2551:12
35V. Husso761.8570.90-0.1008:48

Season series

EDM leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).