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Winnipeg Jets at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, TSN3·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Konecny's goal at 14:03 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were WPG 29, PHI 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.6 goals below expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Travis Konecny (1 G, 1 A), 2. Morgan Frost (1 G, 1 A), 3. Samuel Ersson (28 saves, .966).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Konecny1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    M. Frost1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    S. Ersson28 saves, .966

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG04015110129
PHIPHI3131305421

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.23win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:37
  2. PHI
    M. Frost (16), S. Walker (14)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:03
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.31win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    18:06

2nd period

  1. PHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-4
    2:29

3rd period

  1. WPG
    backhandxG 0.45Video
    1-4
    14:48

Penalties

WPG 13 PIM·PHI 11 PIM

1st

  • 6:03WPGNeal Pionk · Fightingdrawn by Travis Konecny5 min
  • 6:03PHITravis Konecny · Fightingdrawn by Neal Pionk5 min
  • 6:27WPGVladislav Namestnikov · High stickingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 10:46WPGNino Niederreiter · Slashingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

2nd

  • 2:22PHITravis Konecny · Hookingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 16:11PHIScott Laughton · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

3rd

  • 2:07PHIGarnet Hathaway · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:47WPGserved by G. Vilardi · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:49WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Drysdale2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalWPG goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Travis Konecny, 1st 14:03 — PHI 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Frost · Goal · xG 0.31N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.31T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.23T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.23J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.18S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.14S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.14C. York · Missed · xG 0.11T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.11O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.10G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.07R. Poehling · Goal · xG 0.07O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.06G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.05J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.05J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.02S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.00T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.00S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 2.4 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsPHI
3.71 G
All situations
4 G2.4
2.21 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
1.40 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG72%28%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.64 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsPHI
29
Shots on goal
21
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/3
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
11
23
Hits
21
19
Blocked shots
22
3
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD011020.37210—25:47
2D. DeMeloD000+110.02222—21:49
55M. ScheifeleC011-230.310002921:40
81K. ConnorL101-120.59300—20:31
4N. PionkD000-210.11025—18:28
88N. SchmidtD000-110.00050—18:17
23S. MonahanC000-250.770005017:03
54D. SambergD000-100.00020—16:53
13G. VilardiC000-310.19000015:37
17A. LowryC000000.223103815:06
22M. AppletonC000020.19300015:05
64L. StanleyD000-230.07110—14:51
27N. EhlersL000020.36010—14:17
91C. PerfettiC000-120.15210013:53
9A. IafalloL000000.00020—13:09
62N. NiederreiterR000030.2510210011:07
7V. NamestnikovC000010.071124010:28
36M. BarronC000-100.00500008:30
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39L. Brossoit(L)21174.8102.35-1.6559:30

Season series

PHI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).