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Predators at Senators
NHL

Nashville Predators at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
3
Ottawa Senators
▸4
Final/OTTV NHLN, BSSO·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Nashville Predators 4-3 in overtime, Claude Giroux scoring at 3:36. The Senators came back from three goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Claude Giroux's goal at 3:36 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were NSH 28, OTT 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.9 goals below expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 17 of 17 (1.000), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Claude Giroux (1 G), 2. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 3. Philip Tomasino (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    C. Giroux1 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    P. Tomasino1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH3110110600328
OTTOTT0731301411435

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    M. McCarron(7)
    R. Josi (33), P. Tomasino (13)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:26
  2. NSH
    P. Tomasino(6)
    T. Novak (14), C. Glass (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    16:30
  3. NSH
    Y. Trenin(8)
    D. Fabbro (8), R. Josi (34)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    19:00

2nd period

  1. OTT
    D. Batherson(17)
    B. Tkachuk (19)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    5:21
  2. OTT
    T. Stützle(11)
    M. Joseph (15)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    9:20
  3. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(21)
    J. Norris (12)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-3
    17:10

Overtime

  1. OTT
    C. Giroux(15)
    T. Stützle (36)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    3:36

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·OTT 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:57NSHMichael McCarron · Trippingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom2 min
  • 12:50OTTThomas Chabot · Holdingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min

2nd

  • 10:40OTTThomas Chabot · Kneeingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 19:39NSHJeremy Lauzon · Slashingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 19:39OTTRidly Greig · Embellishment2 min

3rd

  • 2:35OTTErik Brannstrom · Slashingdrawn by Michael McCarron2 min
  • 5:13NSHMichael McCarron · Holdingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min
  • 9:22NSHJuuse Saros · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNSH goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Claude Giroux, OT 3:36 — OTT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.16T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.16D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.16B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.15B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.15B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.14J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.13T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.13J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.12C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.12J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.10C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.10D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.10D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.10M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.08D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.08J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.02E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.02M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.01S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.01S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.00B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 3.1 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsOTT
2.03 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.63 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH32%68%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 3.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsOTT
28
Shots on goal
35
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
23
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
25
10
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD022030.07010—27:07
27R. McDonaghD000-110.02030—25:28
3J. LauzonD000-120.09232—21:43
90R. O'ReillyC000-220.082106721:10
14G. NyquistR000-310.040003319:10
9F. ForsbergL000-220.29310—18:48
2L. SchennD000+110.10420—18:13
10C. SissonsC000+120.110004517:40
13Y. TreninC101+130.173105017:25
57D. FabbroD011+100.00000—17:12
8C. GlassC011000.001104215:22
15D. GurianovR000+100.00000—14:42
82T. NovakC011020.150002513:46
36C. SmithR000+130.18400—13:40
77L. EvangelistaR000020.40000—13:17
47M. McCarronC101+110.193143310:21
26P. TomasinoR112010.09010—09:43
45A. CarrierD000-120.03100—08:01
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(O)35314.8863.08-0.9263:36

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).