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Devils at Lightning
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
3
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸6
FinalTV MSGSN2, BSSUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New Jersey Devils 6-3. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Paul's goal at 1:09 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 5.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were NJD 24, TBL 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 36 of 40 (.900); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Victor Hedman (3 A), 2. Nick Paul (1 G, 1 A), 3. Steven Stamkos (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    V. Hedman3 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Paul1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD0604314324
TBLTBL09219414642

Scoring

9 goals

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Paul(13)
    V. Hedman (39), D. Raddysh (14)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:09
  2. TBL
    B. Hagel(15)
    V. Hedman (40), N. Paul (14)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    10:40

3rd period

  1. NJD
    O. Palat(6)
    N. Hischier (14), S. Hatakka (1)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    2:49
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(21)
    N. Perbix (16), N. Kucherov (52)
    wristxG 0.38win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    3:49
  3. NJD
    J. Bratt(19)
    N. Hischier (15)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:19
  4. TBL
    B. Point(24)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.19win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-4
    13:52
  5. NJD
    T. Toffoli(21)
    O. Palat (10), S. Nemec (11)
    wristxG 0.44win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-4
    17:22
  6. TBL
    B. Hagel(16)EN
    A. Cirelli (15), N. Kucherov (53)
    wristxG 0.89win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-5
    18:21
  7. TBL
    B. Point(25)EN
    V. Hedman (41), S. Stamkos (26)
    wristxG 0.56Video
    3-6
    19:06

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·TBL 2 PIM

1st

  • 17:59NJDKevin Bahl · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min

2nd

  • 4:28NJDColin Miller · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min

3rd

  • 4:16NJDJohn Marino · Holdingdrawn by Mitchell Chaffee2 min
  • 10:47TBLEmil Lilleberg · Interferencedrawn by Colin Miller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNJD goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Paul, 2nd 1:09 — TBL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.89B. Point · Goal · xG 0.56S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.50S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.38B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.30N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.30B. Point · Goal · xG 0.19B. Point · Missed · xG 0.17B. Point · Missed · xG 0.17M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.16L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.15N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.14B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.13N. Paul · Goal · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.12M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.11B. Point · Missed · xG 0.11N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.08C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.08D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.07N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.04M. Chaffee · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.01A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.00C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.00D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.00L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.00C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.00N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.00N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.00V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL6 G · 5.8 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsTBL
2.23 G
All situations
4 G5.8
1.33 G
Even strength
4 G3.2
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD26%74%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 3.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsTBL
24
Shots on goal
42
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
41
Hits
38
16
Blocked shots
8
5
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43L. HughesD000-200.03030—22:32
17S. NemecD011-300.00010—21:39
6J. MarinoD000-110.02212—20:31
24C. MillerD000+120.01612—18:47
88K. BahlD000-320.05132—18:14
82S. HatakkaD011+200.03310—16:44
13N. HischierC022010.051005316:26
91D. MercerC000-310.161005016:26
63J. BrattL101030.12130—16:14
73T. ToffoliC101-250.65000015:46
14N. BastianR000000.0071010015:34
28T. MeierR000-220.18100—14:28
37J. DowlingC000-300.011004014:24
11C. TierneyC000020.012104314:21
10A. HoltzR000-200.12100—14:09
18O. PalatL112+240.52200—14:09
42C. LazarC000000.008105414:02
46M. WillmanC000010.24400011:17
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(L)40364.9003.83-0.1758:17

Season series

TBL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).