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Predators at Oilers
NHL

Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
1
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
FinalTV BSSO, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Nashville Predators 4-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 11:39 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 76% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.8 to 2.8; shots on goal were NSH 29, EDM 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 0.8 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Stuart Skinner (28 saves, .966), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 3 A), 3. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    S. Skinner28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0709113129
EDMEDM191626421

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(12)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (33), C. McDavid (45)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:55

2nd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(23)PPG
    C. McDavid (46), R. Nugent-Hopkins (32)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:39

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(20)
    M. Ekholm (15), E. Bouchard (32)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-3
    9:12
  2. NSH
    C. Sissons(13)
    L. Evangelista (13), C. Smith (12)
    batxG 0.17win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:25
  3. EDM
    Z. Hyman(30)EN
    L. Draisaitl (34), C. McDavid (47)
    wristxG 0.61win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    16:41

Penalties

NSH 6 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:38NSHJeremy Lauzon · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 10:54EDMZach Hyman · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Kevin Lankinen2 min
  • 16:42NSHFilip Forsberg · High stickingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min

2nd

  • 5:01EDMLeon Draisaitl · Interferencedrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
  • 11:12NSHJeremy Lauzon · Trippingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 12:20EDMDarnell Nurse · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalNSH goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 2nd 11:39 — EDM 76% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.61R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.30M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.23R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.14R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.04W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.02W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.01R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 2.8 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsEDM
3.81 G
All situations
3 G2.8
3.21 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.60 G
Power play
2 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH76%24%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.78 – 2.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsEDM
29
Shots on goal
21
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
31
Hits
30
13
Blocked shots
17
4
Giveaways
6
9
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-110.13020—27:55
9F. ForsbergL000090.81102—21:57
27R. McDonaghD000020.10130—20:52
90R. O'ReillyC000-100.301007520:42
14G. NyquistR000000.27000—20:03
45A. CarrierD000010.18010—20:03
10C. SissonsC101-130.391305817:08
3J. LauzonD000000.04604—16:34
57D. FabbroD000010.02300—15:42
8C. GlassC000040.450002915:08
82T. NovakC000-100.210105714:38
77L. EvangelistaR011010.15000—14:16
13Y. TreninC000-120.20500014:07
15D. GurianovR000-110.12000—13:02
36C. SmithR011010.12500—12:25
2L. SchennD000010.14430—12:20
47M. McCarronC000020.191005611:22
44K. SherwoodL000000.00300—08:45
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(L)20173.8502.17-0.8359:17

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).