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Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ALT, BSW·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan O'Connor's goal at 14:55 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals were close — LAK 1.9, COL 2.0; shots on goal were LAK 27, COL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. David Rittich stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 0.6 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Logan O'Connor (2 G), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alexandar Georgiev (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    L. O'Connor2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    A. Georgiev26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK07110010127
COLCOL31211118531

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:44
  2. COL
    M. Wood (10), R. Colton (15)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:55
  3. COL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    18:30

2nd period

  1. LAK
    K. Fiala(12)PPG
    slapxG 0.06win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    6:20
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    11:44

3rd period

  1. COL
    C. Makar(12)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    0:31

Penalties

LAK 12 PIM·COL 14 PIM

1st

  • 11:32COLDevon Toews · Holding the stickdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min

2nd

  • 6:05COLKurtis MacDermid · Interferencedrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min
  • 6:44LAKKevin Fiala · High sticking double minordrawn by Devon Toews4 min
  • 16:13COLLogan O'Connor · Roughingdrawn by Matt Roy2 min
  • 16:13LAKMatt Roy · Roughingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

3rd

  • 0:25LAKAdrian Kempe · Trippingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 2:30LAKArthur Kaliyev · Trippingdrawn by Bowen Byram2 min
  • 3:12COLMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 6:27COLNathan MacKinnon · Interferencedrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 9:33COLBowen Byram · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min
  • 9:33LAKAlex Laferriere · Trippingdrawn by Bowen Byram2 min
  • 12:50COLKurtis MacDermid · Slashingdrawn by Brandt Clarke2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalLAK goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Logan O'Connor, 1st 14:55 — COL 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.19M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.17R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.16C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.11C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.10C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.09M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.08C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.07L. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.07J. Manson · Goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.04R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.04F. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.03M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.02J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02K. MacDermid · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.00J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 2.0 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCOL
1.91 G
All situations
5 G2.0
1.40 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK48%52%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.89 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCOL
27
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/5
Power play
1/4
12
Penalty minutes
14
13
Hits
18
14
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
3
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011-110.04010—23:48
84V. GavrikovD000-210.02000—22:12
3M. RoyD000-210.03022—20:15
11A. KopitarC000010.001009319:04
92B. ClarkeD000-100.00130—18:38
9A. KempeR000050.42212—18:18
22K. FialaL101-240.25004—18:18
44M. AndersonD000-110.13010—17:09
12T. MooreL000-240.50010—17:04
24P. DanaultC000-310.160004416:44
78A. LaferriereR011010.1110210014:59
80P. DuboisC000-110.073103314:57
61T. LewisC000010.042001712:44
28J. Anderson-DolanC000010.02110012:35
5A. EnglundD000-110.03120—11:31
68S. FagemoL000-100.00000—11:25
91C. GrundstromR000-120.03110—11:19
34A. KaliyevR000-210.08002—08:54
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31D. Rittich19172.8951.40-0.6040:00
39C. Talbot(L)1293.7500.60-2.4020:00

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).