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Sabres at Kings
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸5
Los Angeles Kings
3
FinalTV BSW, MSG-B·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-3. The Sabres came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Tuch's goal at 5:49 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 48% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were BUF 37, LAK 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Devon Levi stopped 37 of 40 (.925); Cam Talbot stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tage Thompson, 2. Jack Quinn (1 G, 2 A), 3. Anze Kopitar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    T. Thompson
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Quinn1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF113211213537
LAKLAK313013014340

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    A. Kopitar(15)
    A. Kempe (26), M. Roy (12)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:55
  2. BUF
    J. Peterka(15)
    D. Cozens (17)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:01
  3. LAK
    A. Kempe(16)
    D. Doughty (14), Q. Byfield (20)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:24
  4. LAK
    P. Dubois(10)PPG
    A. Laferriere (7), B. Clarke (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-3
    9:44

2nd period

  1. BUF
    J. Peterka(16)
    J. Quinn (5)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    8:22
  2. BUF
    J. Quinn(5)
    C. Mittelstadt (28), R. Johnson (6)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-3
    10:30

3rd period

  1. BUF
    A. Tuch(13)
    E. Robinson (5), P. Krebs (6)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +28 ptsVideo
    4-3
    5:49
  2. BUF
    D. Cozens(9)
    J. Peterka (16), J. Quinn (6)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    5-3
    8:54

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·LAK 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:51BUFTage Thompson · Slashingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 11:19BUFJeff Skinner · Slashingdrawn by Quinton Byfield2 min
  • 14:02LAKTrevor Lewis · Hookingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min

2nd

  • 11:30LAKPierre-Luc Dubois · Hookingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
  • 17:44LAKMatt Roy · Trippingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min

3rd

  • 15:08LAKAdrian Kempe · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 19:11BUFTage Thompson · Cross checkingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalBUF goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Tuch, 3rd 5:49 — BUF 48% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.28V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.24A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.19A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.13A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.12Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.12Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.11Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.10Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.09T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.09T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.08T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.08Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.08P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.07S. Fagemo · Missed · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.06J. Anderson-Dolan · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.06Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.06A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.06Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.06M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson-Dolan · Missed · xG 0.04Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.03M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.03C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.02B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.02A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.02B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.02T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Englund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Fagemo · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.01A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson-Dolan · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.00B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK3 G · 3.0 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsLAK
2.35 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.65 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF37%63%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsLAK
37
Shots on goal
40
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
26
13
Blocked shots
23
7
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000010.01030—26:00
25O. PowerD000+200.00100—23:54
89A. TuchR101-160.4810010021:24
37C. MittelstadtC011-110.010002919:39
72T. ThompsonC000040.512144419:37
75C. CliftonD000+200.00220—19:36
77J. PeterkaR213+440.27000—18:51
10H. JokiharjuD000+210.02120—18:21
53J. SkinnerL000040.381027517:53
22J. QuinnR123+450.17000—16:35
21K. OkposoR000020.05200—15:57
12J. GreenwayL000-200.00210—15:42
24D. CozensC112+340.181005014:53
33R. JohnsonD011+120.12010—13:37
78J. BrysonD000-110.01010—10:50
50E. RobinsonL011+110.04020—10:48
19P. KrebsC011+110.012005610:40
28Z. GirgensonsC000000.00100001:01
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
27D. Levi(W)40373.9252.99-0.0160:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).