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Jets at Maple Leafs
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
0
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸1
Final/OTTV SN, TVAS·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Winnipeg Jets 1-0 in overtime, Auston Matthews scoring at 4:13. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 4:13 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.6 to 2.4; shots on goal were WPG 32, TOR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Samsonov (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Auston Matthews (1 G), 3. Laurent Brossoit (29 saves, .967).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    I. Samsonov32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    L. Brossoit29 saves, .967

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG016050704032
TORTOR0401101312130

Scoring

1 goal

Overtime

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(39)
    M. Rielly (31), N. Robertson (7)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +49 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:13

Penalties

WPG 10 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

2nd

  • 1:42WPGDominic Toninato · Interferencedrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
  • 4:39WPGBrenden Dillon · High stickingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min
  • 14:48WPGDominic Toninato · Holdingdrawn by John Tavares2 min

3rd

  • 4:27WPGBrenden Dillon · Illegal check to headdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
  • 14:58WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 16:20TORWilliam Nylander · Boardingdrawn by Dylan Samberg2 min
  • 19:24TORCalle Jarnkrok · Trippingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalWPG goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, OT 4:13 — TOR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.23M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.18A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.17J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.16W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.14J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.13A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.12J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.11C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.08W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.07N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.06N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.06M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.05N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.04N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04C. Timmins · Missed · xG 0.03N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.03W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.02N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.00N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR1 G · 2.4 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsTOR
2.60 G
All situations
1 G2.4
2.00 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.20 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.50 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG55%45%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsTOR
32
Shots on goal
30
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/2
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
23
10
Blocked shots
19
5
Giveaways
17
14
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD000-100.05810—26:50
2D. DeMeloD000050.07312—25:43
5B. DillonD000020.05114—25:30
17A. LowryC000-110.103004621:17
54D. SambergD000000.00210—20:48
81K. ConnorL000060.70000—20:38
7V. NamestnikovC000020.291002920:15
27N. EhlersL000-130.50010—19:38
88N. SchmidtD000010.00210—18:36
9A. IafalloL000010.02020—18:03
22M. AppletonC000020.09000017:27
62N. NiederreiterR000030.12000—13:38
91C. PerfettiC000020.02000013:09
21D. ToninatoC000010.011042512:21
36M. BarronC000010.41000010:01
15R. KupariC000020.121002508:57
44J. MorrisseyD000000.05120—07:17
71A. Jonsson-FjallbyL000000.00200—05:59
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39L. Brossoit(O)30291.9672.36+1.3664:13

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).