Skip to content
Avalanche at Flyers
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸7
Philadelphia Flyers
4
FinalTV NHLN, ALT·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Philadelphia Flyers 7-4. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cam Atkinson's goal at 8:11 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 6% to 22%. Expected goals were close — COL 3.3, PHI 3.2; shots on goal were COL 25, PHI 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 36 of 40 (.900), 0.8 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 10 of 15 (.667), 3.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 2 A), 2. Morgan Frost (2 A), 3. Mikko Rantanen (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    M. Frost2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL25310210725
PHIPHI012211217440

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    L. O'Connor(9)
    R. Colton (11), S. Malinski (7)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:58
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(25)
    N. MacKinnon (50), R. Colton (12)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    18:36

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(25)
    M. Wood (8), J. Manson (10)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    0:43
  2. PHI
    J. Farabee(16)
    M. Frost (12), C. Atkinson (12)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:49
  3. COL
    L. O'Connor(10)
    M. Wood (9), R. Colton (13)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-1
    8:14
  4. PHI
    T. Konecny(22)
    O. Tippett (12), R. Poehling (9)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-2
    12:23
  5. COL
    N. MacKinnon(26)
    J. Manson (11), J. Kiviranta (5)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 ptsVideo
    5-2
    17:05

3rd period

  1. PHI
    T. Foerster(7)
    M. Frost (13), C. Atkinson (13)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +6 ptsVideo
    5-3
    5:26
  2. PHI
    C. Atkinson(12)
    R. Ristolainen (3), N. Cates (4)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    5-4
    8:11
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(26)PPG
    C. Makar (44), J. Drouin (16)
    wristxG 0.81win prob +10 ptsVideo
    6-4
    12:23
  4. COL
    L. O'Connor(11)EN
    N. MacKinnon (51), D. Toews (21)
    wristxG 0.89Video
    7-4
    19:39

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:42COLJonathan Drouin · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 12:28COLJosh Manson · High stickingdrawn by Tyson Foerster2 min
  • 16:30PHITravis Sanheim · High stickingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min

2nd

  • 8:57COLJason Polin · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Foerster2 min

3rd

  • 11:34PHIScott Laughton · Hookingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCOL goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Cam Atkinson, 3rd 8:11 — PHI 6% → 22%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.40S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.22M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.19J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.18R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.17J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.16C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.16S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.16C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.10S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.10T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.09S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.07J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.07T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.06T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.06S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.06C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.06S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.05C. York · On goal · xG 0.04S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.04S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.04E. Zamula · Missed · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03C. York · Missed · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.03M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.03E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.02N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · Missed · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 3.2 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsPHI
3.36 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.25 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
1.21 G
Power play
0 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL37%63%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 3.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsPHI
25
Shots on goal
40
36%
Faceoffs
64%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
19
28
Blocked shots
12
6
Giveaways
3
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD011010.03320—24:01
8C. MakarD011030.09050—24:01
29N. MacKinnonC224+340.322202723:30
96M. RantanenR202+220.94000—22:14
42J. MansonD022+100.00462—21:12
27J. DrouinL011020.21212—20:59
49S. GirardD000000.00230—20:43
25L. O'ConnorR303+451.221105018:45
28M. WoodL022+310.12100—17:34
20R. ColtonC033+310.353104017:00
11A. CoglianoC000-210.00210016:10
3J. JohnsonD000000.00040—14:29
70S. MalinskiD011+220.02010—13:00
94J. KivirantaL011-320.04110—12:03
12R. JohansenC000-210.003005009:25
22F. OlofssonL000-100.000003808:28
41J. PolinR000000.00102—06:38
56K. MacDermidL000000.00000—03:48
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)40364.9003.18-0.8260:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).