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Kraken at Oilers
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
FinalTV ROOT-NW, SN1·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Seattle Kraken 4-2. The Oilers came back from two goals down. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Warren Foegele's goal at 7:38 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were SEA 27, EDM 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 0.8 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Warren Foegele (2 G), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 3 A), 3. Stuart Skinner (25 saves, .926).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    W. Foegele2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    S. Skinner25 saves, .926

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA21001007227
EDMEDM012313111436

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    E. Tolvanen(12)
    O. Bjorkstrand (24)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:49
  2. SEA
    J. McCann(18)
    J. Eberle (16), Y. Gourde (12)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:32

2nd period

  1. EDM
    W. Foegele(8)
    L. Draisaitl (26), E. Kane (12)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:37
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(22)PPG
    Z. Hyman (17), R. Nugent-Hopkins (28)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:38
  3. EDM
    W. Foegele(9)
    L. Draisaitl (27), E. Kane (13)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:38

3rd period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(27)PPG
    C. McDavid (43), L. Draisaitl (28)
    snapxG 0.17Video
    2-4
    17:22

Penalties

SEA 23 PIM·EDM 24 PIM

1st

  • 1:27EDMZach Hyman · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:54SEAWill Borgen · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 7:13EDMConnor McDavid · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 11:15SEAAdam Larsson · Boardingdrawn by James Hamblin2 min

2nd

  • 1:20EDMConnor McDavid · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min
  • 4:25SEATomas Tatar · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 10:13EDMMattias Ekholm · Trippingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min

3rd

  • 8:36EDMDarnell Nurse · Holdingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min
  • 16:26EDMMattias Ekholm · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 16:26SEAYanni Gourde · Chargingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm5 min
  • 19:27SEAWill Borgen · Slashingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 19:27EDMWarren Foegele · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Will Borgen2 min
  • 19:27EDMWarren Foegele · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:27SEAWill Borgen · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalSEA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Warren Foegele, 2nd 7:38 — EDM 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.31Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.20Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.17R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.13V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.13W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.12W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.11R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.05D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.03W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.02C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM4 G · 3.2 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsEDM
2.52 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.52 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.90 G
Power play
2 G1.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA39%61%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsEDM
27
Shots on goal
36
32%
Faceoffs
68%
0/5
Power play
2/5
23
Penalty minutes
24
38
Hits
16
9
Blocked shots
18
8
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
39R. EvansD000040.31400—22:53
21A. WennbergC000010.320001922:34
6A. LarssonD000020.01332—22:05
37Y. GourdeC011020.344053618:37
24J. OleksiakD000000.00210—18:20
3W. BorgenD000-100.005114—16:48
17J. SchwartzL000-110.06000—16:31
22O. BjorkstrandR011020.062005016:20
8B. DumoulinD000+110.04410—16:12
13B. TanevL000000.16410—16:01
20E. TolvanenR101040.34510—15:48
4J. SchultzD000010.03110—15:45
7J. EberleR011+110.10000—15:43
19J. McCannL101+130.290006015:12
95A. BurakovskyL000-100.00100—14:16
90T. TatarL000010.05002—10:35
52T. KartyeL000030.2130010009:37
56K. YamamotoR000010.15000—09:30
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(L)36324.8893.15-0.8559:27

Season series

EDM leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).