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Red Wings at Panthers
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸3
Florida Panthers
2
Final/OTTV TNT, MAX·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Florida Panthers 3-2 in overtime, Dylan Larkin scoring at 1:09. The Panthers scored first; the Red Wings answered. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Larkin's goal at 1:09 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.4 to 1.5; shots on goal were DET 29, FLA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Larkin (1 G), 2. Alex Lyon (32 saves, .941), 3. Sergei Bobrovsky (26 saves, .897).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. Lyon32 saves, .941
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky26 saves, .897

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET091101911329
FLAFLA01021301100234

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(33)SHG
    A. Lundell (12), D. Kulikov (11)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +18 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:38
  2. DET
    M. Rasmussen(10)
    O. Maatta (8), A. Copp (14)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    11:40
  3. FLA
    G. Forsling(6)
    S. Bennett (8)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:56

3rd period

  1. DET
    R. Fabbri(13)
    M. Rasmussen (10), O. Maatta (9)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:15

Overtime

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(18)PPG
    S. Gostisbehere (23), D. Perron (11)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:09

Penalties

DET 10 PIM·FLA 12 PIM

1st

  • 10:54FLARyan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 10:54DETJ.T. Compher · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 11:55DETBen Chiarot · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 11:55FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 12:36FLABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 16:45DETShayne Gostisbehere · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 4:00FLABrandon Montour · Interferencedrawn by Daniel Sprong2 min
  • 19:05DETDaniel Sprong · Holdingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min

3rd

  • 14:23FLAEvan Rodrigues · Embellishment2 min
  • 14:23DETRobby Fabbri · Hookingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 19:21FLAAaron Ekblad · Hookingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalDET goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Larkin, OT 1:09 — DET 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.41S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.22G. Forsling · Goal · xG 0.19S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.17S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.16B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.16S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.15S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.12O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.09W. Lockwood · On goal · xG 0.09J. Gadjovich · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.08G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.07D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.07G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.06O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.05E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.05J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.04E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA2 G · 3.4 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsFLA
1.53 G
All situations
2 G3.4
1.22 G
Even strength
1 G2.8
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET19%81%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.51 – 3.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsFLA
29
Shots on goal
34
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/3
Power play
0/2
10
Penalty minutes
12
27
Hits
19
26
Blocked shots
13
15
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
41S. GostisbehereD011-130.12132—22:44
53M. SeiderD000000.04620—22:26
71D. LarkinC101-240.310003521:49
37J. CompherL000-100.000021421:30
46J. PetryD000-110.06290—20:30
8B. ChiarotD000-110.00232—18:09
2O. MaattaD022+230.02120—17:42
23L. RaymondL000-210.00100—17:27
57D. PerronL011-230.19000—17:22
93A. DeBrincatR000000.00000—17:06
14R. FabbriC101+120.13122015:19
3J. HollD000+210.04210—14:56
18A. CoppC011+200.000004414:32
17D. SprongR000040.47022—13:04
27M. RasmussenC112+240.10100012:58
90J. VelenoC000000.005105611:25
36C. FischerR000+120.01300—09:39
24K. KostinC000000.0021010008:15
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(W)34322.9413.40+1.4060:52

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).