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Seattle Kraken at New York Rangers

FinalTV ROOT-NW, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Seattle Kraken 5-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Wheeler's goal at 12:32 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals were close — SEA 3.4, NYR 3.5; shots on goal were SEA 31, NYR 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Chris Driedger stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.7 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kaapo Kakko (1 G), 2. Igor Shesterkin (29 saves, .935), 3. Mika Zibanejad (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    K. Kakko1 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin29 saves, .935
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA1801617231
NYRNYR2721016523

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    A. Panarin (33), A. Fox (22)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:22
  2. SEA
    J. Eberle(6)PPG
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:41
  3. NYR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:09

2nd period

  1. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:32
  2. NYR
    snapxG 0.14win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    17:01

3rd period

  1. SEA
    J. McCann(17)PPG
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-4
    14:24
  2. NYR
    M. Zibanejad (27), A. Fox (23)
    wristxG 0.73win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    17:22

Penalties

SEA 4 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:18SEAJaden Schwartz · Hookingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 7:01SEAJustin Schultz · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:14NYRBarclay Goodrow · Roughingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min

3rd

  • 13:36NYRK'Andre Miller · Trippingdrawn by Eeli Tolvanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalSEA goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Blake Wheeler, 2nd 12:32 — NYR 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.73A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.46M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.25A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.20C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.16V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.16K. Kakko · Goal · xG 0.14B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.12E. Gustafsson · Goal · xG 0.11C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.07J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.05E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.04W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.03J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.00V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 3.5 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsNYR
3.42 G
All situations
4 G3.5
3.00 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.42 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA67%33%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.35 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsNYR
31
Shots on goal
23
33%
Faceoffs
67%
2/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
24
12
Blocked shots
15
6
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
39R. EvansD000-140.10020—25:04
3W. BorgenD000-200.01210—22:08
24J. OleksiakD000-240.28120—22:08
6A. LarssonD000-110.07010—19:52
21A. WennbergC000000.000002919:13
37Y. GourdeC000-230.302003817:50
7J. EberleR112-130.32010—17:34
8B. DumoulinD000010.05220—17:12
17J. SchwartzL000-110.09012—17:01
20E. TolvanenR000-210.03100—16:21
13B. TanevL000-110.28100—15:48
22O. BjorkstrandR011-210.17100—15:35
19J. McCannL112-150.560103814:47
90T. TatarL000020.91000—14:14
52T. KartyeL000-200.005003311:21
4J. SchultzD011-120.10002—11:05
56K. YamamotoR000-110.10100—10:51
15J. HaydenC000-110.012105009:00
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Driedger(L)22184.8182.34-1.6659:35

Season series

NYR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).