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Washington Capitals at New York Rangers

FinalTV NHLN, MNMT·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Washington Capitals 2-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was T.J. Oshie's goal at 11:03 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 13% to 28%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were WSH 25, NYR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexis Lafrenière (1 G), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G), 3. Charlie Lindgren (29 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière1 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    C. Lindgren29 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0611207125
NYRNYR210011010231

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:50
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.40win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:10

2nd period

  1. WSH
    deflectedxG 0.30win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:03

Penalties

WSH 12 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:38NYRChris Kreider · High stickingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 14:48WSHMartin Fehérváry · High stickingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 19:48NYRBlake Wheeler · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min

2nd

  • 13:31WSHMartin Fehérváry · Interferencedrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 14:54WSHNic Dowd · Roughingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

3rd

  • 1:33WSHJoel Edmundson · High stickingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 11:42WSHJohn Carlson · Trippingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 14:52NYRBraden Schneider · Slashingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 14:52WSHT.J. Oshie · Hookingdrawn by Braden Schneider2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalWSH goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: T.J. Oshie, 2nd 11:03 — WSH 13% → 28%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.52V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.46A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.40A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.22K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.21C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.21J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.20A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.19A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.17K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.16C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.15M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.13B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.09A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.07J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.05A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.05E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.04N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 4.2 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYR
2.81 G
All situations
2 G4.2
2.31 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.40 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH41%59%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYR
25
Shots on goal
31
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
24
11
Blocked shots
23
7
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-140.04312—28:32
57T. van RiemsdykD000-200.07330—22:26
92E. KuznetsovC000-140.281004321:02
3N. JensenD000020.06020—20:35
43T. WilsonR000-110.07420—17:39
17D. StromeC011+100.090009017:21
77T. OshieR101+171.30402—16:35
26N. DowdC000-100.020022916:18
67M. PaciorettyL011+130.5810010016:15
6J. EdmundsonD000+110.02012—15:58
42M. FehérváryD000000.00004—15:33
24C. McMichaelL000010.180005715:04
39A. ManthaR000000.00000—14:39
21A. ProtasL000000.000005014:27
25E. BearD000010.04000—12:29
47B. MalenstynL000-110.04210—11:41
96N. Aube-KubelR000-100.00110—07:19
29H. LapierreC000-100.001003305:38
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(L)31292.9353.21+1.2158:29

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).