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Chicago Blackhawks at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-2. The Blackhawks scored first; the Devils answered. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael McLeod's goal at 11:56 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 54% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.4 to 1.4; shots on goal were CHI 25, NJD 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Vitek Vanecek stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Simon Nemec (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alexander Holtz (1 G, 1 A), 3. Michael McLeod (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    S. Nemec1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    A. Holtz1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    M. McLeod1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI1101807225
NJDNJD01311039432

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:05

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.09win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:08
  2. CHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:24

3rd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.02win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:41
  2. NJD
    C. Lazar (8), A. Holtz (10)
    tip-inxG 0.32win prob +31 pts
    2-3
    11:56
  3. NJD
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.56win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:33

Penalties

CHI 38 PIM·NJD 26 PIM

1st

  • 6:20CHIReese Johnson · Slashingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min
  • 10:10NJDKevin Bahl · Trippingdrawn by Brett Seney2 min
  • 10:49CHINick Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 10:49CHINick Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 10:49NJDBrendan Smith · Roughingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
  • 13:20NJDJonas Siegenthaler · High stickingdrawn by MacKenzie Entwistle2 min
  • 15:57NJDColin Miller · Roughingdrawn by Reese Johnson2 min

2nd

  • 3:05CHIJaycob Megna · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 5:02NJDDawson Mercer · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 5:02CHIRyan Donato · Roughingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min
  • 5:02CHIAlex Vlasic · Instigatordrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min
  • 5:02NJDNathan Bastian · Boardingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 5:02CHIAlex Vlasic · Fightingdrawn by Nathan Bastian5 min
  • 5:02NJDNathan Bastian · Fightingdrawn by Alex Vlasic5 min
  • 5:02CHIAlex Vlasic · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 5:04CHINick Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Smith5 min
  • 5:04NJDBrendan Smith · Fightingdrawn by Nick Foligno5 min
  • 6:17CHIBrett Seney · Cross checkingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 14:17NJDColin Miller · Holdingdrawn by Boris Katchouk2 min
  • 16:39CHIJaycob Megna · Holdingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 19:54NJDNathan Bastian · Interferencedrawn by Connor Murphy2 min

3rd

  • 9:31CHIConnor Murphy · Roughingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCHI goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Michael McLeod, 3rd 11:56 — NJD 54% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.56M. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.32N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.23J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.17J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.13J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.11J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.11E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.11M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.11N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.11J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.10A. Holtz · Goal · xG 0.09J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.09M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.08L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.07N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.07D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.05J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.04C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.03B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.02M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02S. Nemec · Goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.01C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 3.4 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsNJD
1.42 G
All situations
3 G3.4
1.00 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.31 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI23%77%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.40 – 2.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsNJD
25
Shots on goal
32
35%
Faceoffs
65%
1/5
Power play
0/6
38
Penalty minutes
26
17
Hits
19
23
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
6
7
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. MurphyD000000.01222—23:22
16J. DickinsonC101-240.201003821:14
23P. KurashevC000010.05010020:08
25J. TinordiD000030.02250—19:52
27L. ReichelL000-320.290002018:39
22N. ZaitsevD000-220.02050—18:33
8R. DonatoC000-120.051125018:23
55K. KorchinskiD000-200.00110—17:46
70C. GuttmanC000-340.130005017:30
72A. VlasicD011-100.000117—17:29
43C. BlackwellC000-120.252003317:28
24J. MegnaD000000.00034—15:58
14B. KatchoukL101030.2711010015:47
52R. JohnsonC000000.004125013:16
58M. EntwistleR000-210.01110—12:32
62B. SeneyL000000.002122011:16
17N. FolignoL000010.120095007:26
98C. BedardC000000.000005003:05
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Soderblom(L)31283.9032.85-0.1558:16

Season series

NJD leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).