Philadelphia Flyers at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marc Staal's goal at 17:00 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 26% to 47%. Expected goals were close — PHI 3.2, EDM 3.4; shots on goal were PHI 37, EDM 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 1.6 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 4 A), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (2 G, 1 A), 3. Zach Hyman (1 G, 2 A).
Three stars
- ★C. McDavid1 G, 4 A

- ★★R. Nugent-Hopkins2 G, 1 A

- ★★★Z. Hyman1 G, 2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-115:55
2nd period
0-28:12
1-211:10
2-217:00
2-319:05
3rd period
2-41:27
2-511:19
Penalties
1st
- 6:10
Warren Foegele · Trippingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
- 17:20
Egor Zamula · Holdingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
- 17:39
Connor McDavid · Holdingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
- 18:26
Travis Konecny · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
2nd
- 5:09
Brett Kulak · Interferencedrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
- 11:58
Mattias Janmark · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
- 18:31
Cam Atkinson · Trippingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
3rd
- 4:02
Tyson Foerster · Slashingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min
- 7:43
Cody Ceci · Trippingdrawn by Bobby Brink2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Marc Staal, 2nd 17:00 — 26% → 47%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.22 G
- All situations
- 5 G3.4
- 2.22 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.5
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.0
- 0.30 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.10 – 3.42
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 37
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 28
- Hits
- 15
- 8
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 7
- Giveaways
- 16
- 2
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
1@
4Final
2@
5this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
