Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Florida Panthers beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eetu Luostarinen's goal at 7:34 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 58% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.8 to 1.6; shots on goal were MTL 19, FLA 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.8 goals below expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Eetu Luostarinen (2 G), 2. Sam Bennett (1 G, 1 A), 3. Anthony Stolarz (18 saves, .947).
Three stars
- ★E. Luostarinen2 G

- ★★S. Bennett1 G, 1 A

- ★★★A. Stolarz18 saves, .947

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
0-14:05
1-17:01
3rd period
1-27:34
1-315:26
1-417:13
Penalties
1st
- 2:53
Michael Pezzetta · Fightingdrawn by William Lockwood5 min
- 2:53
William Lockwood · Fightingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta5 min
- 7:31
Carter Verhaeghe · High stickingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
2nd
- 2:22
Nick Suzuki · Holdingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
- 5:31
Evan Rodrigues · Holdingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
- 7:52
served by M. Pezzetta · Too many men on the ice2 min
3rd
- 6:42
Joel Armia · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Eetu Luostarinen, 3rd 7:34 — 58% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.61 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.8
- 1.10 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.8
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.60 – 2.21
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 19
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 59%
- Faceoffs
- 41%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 2/3
- 11
- Penalty minutes
- 9
- 19
- Hits
- 19
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 6
- Giveaways
- 10
- 9
- Takeaways
- 20
Box score
every player line
Season series
FLA leads 3-1
5@
1Final
1@
4this game
3@
4SOFinal
3@
5Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
